A 400-year record of atmospheric mercury from tree-rings in

Aug 2, 2018 - Tree-rings are a promising high-resolution archive for gaseous atmospheric mercury (comprised primarily of Hg0) reconstruction, but the ...
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Characterization of Natural and Affected Environments

A 400-year record of atmospheric mercury from tree-rings in northwestern Canada Sydney Clackett, Trevor Porter, and Igor Lehnherr Environ. Sci. Technol., Just Accepted Manuscript • DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.8b01824 • Publication Date (Web): 02 Aug 2018 Downloaded from http://pubs.acs.org on August 3, 2018

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A 400-year record of atmospheric mercury from tree-rings in northwestern Canada

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Sydney P. Clackett1, Trevor J. Porter1,*, and Igor Lehnherr1

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Department of Geography, University of Toronto, Erindale Campus, Mississauga, Canada, L5L 1C6 *Corresponding author. Tel. +1-905-828-5314; [email protected]

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Abstract Tree-rings are a promising high-resolution archive for gaseous atmospheric mercury (comprised primarily of Hg0) reconstruction, but the influence of cambial age (ring number from

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pith) and tree-specific differences are uncertainties with potential implications for interpreting

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tree-ring Hg signals. We address these uncertainties and reconstruct the last 400 years of Hg0

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change using a tree-ring Hg dataset from 20 white spruce (Picea glauca) trees from a pristine site

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in central Yukon. Cambial age has no significant influence on tree-ring Hg concentration, but

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tree-specific differences in mean concentration are prevalent and must be normalized to a

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common mean to accurately constrain long-term trends in the mean tree-ring Hg record. Our

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record shows stable, low Hg0 concentrations prior to ~1750 CE, a persistent rise from ~1750-

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1950 (increasing more rapidly post-1850), a pause from ~1951-1975, and then a resumed

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increase to record-high levels at present. This general pattern is reflected in other proxy-based

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Hg reconstructions worldwide. This study provides a novel long-term Hg0 reconstruction in the

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Western subarctic from one of the most widely distributed boreal tree species in North America

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and, therefore this proxy may also hold potential for investigating broader spatial patterns in Hg0

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cycling across the subarctic and northern boreal forest.

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1.0 INTRODUCTION Gaseous elemental mercury (Hg0) has a long atmospheric residence time which allows

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for long-range dispersal of natural and anthropogenic Hg emissions to remote and otherwise

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pristine areas on Earth.1 Eventual deposition of Hg in terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, and

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conversion to toxic forms (e.g., methylmercury), is a major environmental and human health

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concern.1 The United Nation’s Minamata Convention on Mercury came into force in 2017 to

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address Hg pollution, leading to international efforts to monitor and mitigate atmospheric Hg

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emissions. However, monitoring of Hg in the environment only began ~40 years ago,2 well after

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the rise of anthropogenic industrial emissions. Natural archives for deposited Hg such as ice

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cores,3,4 peat cores5,6 and sediment cores6–8 offer a longer-term perspective on changes in Hg

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cycling from the pre-industrial era to present. Such a long-term perspective is needed to evaluate

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the efficacy of international mitigation efforts. All proxies have unique strengths and

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uncertainties, for example, related to chronology6 and non-atmospheric Hg inputs.9 However,

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conventional wisdom from the paleo-sciences dictates that knowledge of past environments can

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be enhanced through replication and a multi-proxy approach.10

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Recent studies suggest that annually resolved tree-rings are a promising archive for Hg0

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at the time of assimilation.11–17 A combination of field- and growth-chamber studies reveal that

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tree-ring Hg is derived primarily from gaseous atmospheric Hg0, via air-to-foliage (stomata and

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cuticle) pathways and phloem translocation to where Hg is assimilated into woody tissue.13,14,16,18

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Neither uptake of soil Hg through the roots, or exposure to different gaseous oxidized Hg

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compounds appears to significantly influence tree-ring Hg concentrations.18 Tree-rings have

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several advantages including the broad distribution of forests globally, potential for centennial-

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to millennial-length chronologies, annual resolution, and absolute dating control (annual ring 2 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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counting and cross-dating verification) that does not rely on radiometric chronometers. The

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advantage of absolute dating in tree-rings cannot be overstated, since radiometric (e.g., 14C)

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chronology uncertainties for Late Holocene sedimentary records are commonly > 50 years,

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which has major implications for constraining the timing of Hg trends and calculated fluxes.

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As Hg dendrochemistry is a relatively young field of research, there are few long tree-

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ring Hg records worldwide. Most applied tree-ring Hg studies have focused on recent (20th

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century) local industrial signals in the tree-ring Hg,12,14,17 which provide important proof-of-

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concept that tree-rings reliably track local atmospheric Hg0 variability. However, virtually all

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tree-ring Hg studies are based on small sample sizes (e.g., < 5 trees)11,12,14,19 or pooled, multi-tree

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records,16,20 which has precluded assessments of the influence of ‘internal factors’ such as

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cambial age (ring number since the pith, or first year of growth) and tree-specific differences on

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mean tree-ring Hg concentrations. As tree-specific and age-related factors are known to

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influence other physical tree-ring variables (e.g., ring-width, density and 13C/12C),21–25 recent

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studies have suggested the need to understand the potential influence of internal factors on the

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long-term trends in tree-ring Hg.16

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In this study, we address these key uncertainties using a well-replicated dataset of tree-

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ring Hg developed from 20 mature white spruce (Picea glauca) trees from a pristine boreal site

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in central Yukon, northern Canada, ~140 km south of the Arctic Circle. We then use this dataset

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to estimate the common Hg signal, and use this record to infer the last ~400 years of Hg0 change

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in this region.

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2.0 METHODS

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2.1 Field sampling and cross-dating

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Fifty-five mature white spruce trees (living and dead) were sampled in 2015 and 2016

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from a woodland site we call Scree Hill in central Yukon (65.071°N, 138.157°W) (Fig. 1). All

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55 trees were included in our cross-dating analysis, and a subset of 20 trees was selected for tree-

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ring Hg analysis (Section 2.2). Bark-to-bark cores (i.e., dual radii) were collected from living

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trees (n = 28) perpendicular to the trunk at ~1 m height using 5.1 mm or 10 mm diameter Haglof

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increment borers (10 mm cores were collected for Hg analysis). The cores passed through or near

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the pith for most of the sampled trees. Disks were cut by chainsaw from dead trees (n = 27), also

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at ~1 m height or higher if rot was encountered lower in the stem.

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Samples were air dried for several weeks before further preparation. Cores were fixed to

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mounts with a small bead of wood glue and then lightly sanded with increasingly finer sandpaper

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(220 to 400 grit) to polish the surface for tree-ring measurement and dating. For living samples,

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calendar years were assigned to each ring by counting back from the outermost growth ring (i.e.,

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year of sampling) to the pith or the innermost growth ring. Ring-width measurements (Velmex

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measuring system, ± 0.001mm precision) were collected for the core samples, and the ring-width

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patterns were cross-dated using the software program COFECHA26 to verify the age of each ring

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and ensure there are no locally absent or false rings. Ring-width series from deadwood samples

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were matched to the ‘master’ living tree chronology, also using COFECHA, to determine their

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positions in time, and then cross-dated against all other samples. The principle of cross-dating

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allows for the detection of misaligned ring-width series caused by random growth anomalies

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expressed in some trees (e.g., locally absent or false rings), and is the basis for absolute,

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calendar year tree-ring chronologies that underpin parts of the 14C timescale27. The Scree Hill

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ring-width chronology benefits from high replication (n = 55 trees) and the individual ring-width

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series that define it show no evidence of misaligned series based on the cross-dating analysis (see

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SI – COFECHA report). Therefore, we assume the Scree Hill tree-ring chronology is absolute

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and free of dating errors. White spruce is regarded as a species of high importance in

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dendrochronology, owing to its tendency to cross-date strongly and unambiguously across local

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to regional scales28.

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2.2 Sub-sampling for Hg analysis

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The 20 trees selected for Hg analysis include 11 living trees and 9 dead trees. The bark-

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to-bark core samples (10 mm bore diameter) from living trees capture ‘duplicate’ pith-to-bark

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sections from opposite sides of the tree. Only one of the two pith-to-bark section was analyzed

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for Hg. The disks from dead trees were cut into ~2 cm wide cross-sections using a band saw, to

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facilitate dissection of the rings. Similar to the core samples, only one pith-to-bark section from

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the dead wood samples was analyzed for Hg (see next paragraph for sub-sampling details). We

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avoided samples with distorted growth rings due to branch intrusions or reaction wood. We also

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made an effort to include samples with a wide range of initial growth dates to avoid over-

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representation of trees that began growing during a particular period of time when atmospheric

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Hg0 concentrations may have been naturally high or low, which could result in a ‘temporal bias’

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when characterizing cambial age-related trends in tree-ring Hg. Initial growth rings of the

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selected samples are relatively evenly distributed across a range of calendar years from 1605-

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1860 CE (Common Era), and with cambial ages that range from 135-385 years. For core samples

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that did not pass through the pith, a tree-ring image analysis program CooRecorder (Cybis

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Elektronik) was used to estimate the number of missing growth rings by concentric-ring curve fit

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in order to assign the most accurate cambial age possible to each sample.

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The core and disk tree-ring series selected for Hg analysis were sub-sampled into 5-year

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blocks (i.e., 5 annual rings per block) corresponding with the first and last halves of the

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Gregorian calendar decades (e.g., 1901-1905, 1906-1910, etc.). The goal of this strategy was to

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optimize inter-tree replication when organizing the individual tree-ring Hg series by calendar

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year. This strategy also meant that the earliest block of rings for some trees did not always

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include 5 rings; in all but one case the first block of rings included 3 or more rings (4.25 on

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average). A clean scalpel blade was used to dissect the 5-year blocks, and shave the outer surface

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to remove potential contamination since the time of collection.

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2.3 Mercury Analysis

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Samples were oven dried at 60°C for 24 hr to remove adsorbed and interstitial water.

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Twenty milligrams of dry wood was sub-sampled from each 5-year block with a clean scalpel,

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cut perpendicular to the ring boundary to maintain the natural weighting of rings in the 5-year

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block. Blocks that weighed less than 20 mg were not analysed. Total Hg concentrations were

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quantified with a Milestone tri-cell Direct Mercury Analyzer (DMA-80) by atomic absorption

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following thermal decomposition and amalgam pre-concentration. Our quadratic calibration

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curve was constrained by a 10-point dilution series of a certified aqueous Hg standard (High

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Purity Standards 1000 µg mL-1 Hg, 2% HCl), bracketing Hg amounts in the tree-ring samples.

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The detection limit, calculated as 3× the standard deviation of the blank, is 0.0042 ng Hg, which

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corresponds to a concentration of 0.21 ng g-1 since the samples analyzed in this study were

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weighed to 20 mg (dry weight). Instrument accuracy was assessed daily using the NIST 1575a

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Pine Needle Standard, for which we obtained a mean concentration of 40.0 ± 0.6 ng g-1 (1.6%

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RSD, N = 38), which is consistent with the certified value (39.9 ± 0.7 ng g-1). Blanks, sample

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duplicates (1σ = 0.1 ng g-1), and an internal powdered wood standard (4.7 ± 0.2 ng g-1, 4.8%

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RSD, N = 84) were analyzed before every 9th sample for quality assurance and to monitor

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instrument stability and precision. The DMA-80 program was as follows: 250°C maximum

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starting temperature; 200°C drying temperature; 60 s drying time; 650°C decomposition

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temperature; 180 s decomposition time; and 60 s dwell time.

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3.0 RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

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3.1 Cambial age-related trends

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The influence of a tree’s cambial age on ring-width and other tree-ring variables (e.g.,

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δ13C and maximum ring-density) is well described in the literature.22,25,29 However, to date, there

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are no published studies that have investigated cambial age-related effects in tree-ring Hg;

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although previous studies have highlighted the need for such investigations to better understand

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the potential implications for interpreting environmental signals in long tree-ring Hg series.16 of

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the focus of this section is our analysis of the relation between cambial age and tree-ring Hg.

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However, we begin with a brief discussion of the influence of cambial age on the traditional

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ring-width variable from our sample trees.

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A negative exponential trend was observed in mean ring-width when all series were

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aligned by cambial age (Fig. 2a). Large ring-widths (~0.57 mm) are typical in the first years of

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growth, followed by an initially rapid decrease between years 1-101 (mean ring-width = ~0.24

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by year 201), and no significant change thereafter (trends beyond year 270 are not considered

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due to low replication). Negative exponential trends are common in open-canopy boreal forests,

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owing to a general lack of within-stand disturbance (e.g., gap dynamics) and low competition for

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resources during the juvenile growth years, and subsequently slower rates of growth as the tree

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approaches a maximum size in later years.25,30 Paleo-environmental signals are encoded in ring-

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width series, but are secondary to the cambial age-related trend in terms of variance, which is

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why raw ring-width data are usually ‘detrended’ prior to climate-proxy analysis and paleoclimate

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reconstruction.

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We also evaluated possible cambial age-related trends in the average tree-ring Hg series,

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but restrict our analysis to cambial ages defined by three or more trees, and we use the robust bi-

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weight mean to estimate the average tree-ring Hg record since it is insensitive to outliers.31 We

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calculated two cambial age-aligned mean Hg records (Fig. 2), one based on all trees and another

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that excludes post-1850 CE tree-rings to avoid the confounding impact of the rapid rise in global

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atmospheric Hg0 concentrations since industrialization,32 which could dominate variability in the

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cambial age-aligned mean record and be mistaken as an age-related trend. When post-1850 CE

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tree-rings are excluded (Fig. 2b, red line), a slightly negative slope (-0.005 ng g-1 decade-1) is

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observed in the mean Hg concentration with increasing cambial age (cambial ages 1-216) but

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which is not significantly different from a flat line (p = 0.87). However, if post-1850 CE data are

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included (Fig. 2b, black line), a persistent rise in mean Hg concentration is observed between

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cambial ages 1-281 at a rate of +0.032 ng g-1 decade-1 (p = 5.6 ×10-21). This comparison

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demonstrates that industrial-era tree-rings strongly bias the result, probably due to a higher Hg0

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background in the industrial era,32,33 and should be excluded from cambial age-trend analysis if

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the objective is to isolate Hg trends solely related to cambial age, but we also recognize that

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doing so reduces the total sample size and range of cambial ages that can be effectively

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characterized (Fig. 2c).

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We conclude that tree-ring Hg concentrations are not significantly influenced by a tree’s

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cambial age and, thus, tree-ring Hg series do not require the same adaptive curve-fitting

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standardization procedures (with potential low-frequency information loss; Cook et al.34) that are

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typically applied to traditional tree-ring variables prior to paleoenvironmental analysis. This

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finding holds when other transformations of our dataset are used, including ‘bias-adjusted’ series

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as we discuss in Section 3.2. However, this being the first study of age-related trends in tree-ring

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Hg, additional studies from other sites and species are needed to verify this result. Ideally future

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studies that investigate cambial age effects on tree-ring Hg will include samples from a wider

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range of pre-historic intervals to better control for period-specific variability in atmospheric Hg0.

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The northern boreal forest in particular has great potential for such investigations, as

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demonstrated by millennial-length tree-ring records reported in nearby Alaska35 and Northwest

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Territories.36

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3.2 Inter-tree variability

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Both systematic differences in mean Hg concentration and random variability (‘noise’)

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are apparent in the individual tree-ring Hg series. We begin this discussion by focusing on the

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systematic differences in mean concentration that are evident in some of the individual series

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(Fig. 3). For example, tree-ring Hg concentrations of tree SH1-15-01a are on average 0.64 ng g-1

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higher than the mean record (‘site average’) defined by all other trees, and tree-ring Hg

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concentrations of tree SH1-16-01b are on average 0.34 ng g-1 lower than the site average (Fig. 3).

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Mean differences between individual Hg series and the site average are small in absolute terms

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(ranging from 0.01 to 0.64 ng g-1), but have implications for calculating a site averaged tree-ring 9 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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record that most accurately depicts the common, long-term Hg trend shared by the sample

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population. These implications are discussed later in this section, but first we discuss possible

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reasons for tree-specific differences in mean tree-ring Hg concentration.

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Tree-specific differences in mean tree-ring Hg concentration (hereafter ‘tree-specific

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bias’) implies that tree-specific factors may influence tree-ring Hg concentrations, although the

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source of tree-specific bias is unknown. Possible factors might include differences in stomatal

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conductance or in phenology (timing and duration) of tree-ring growth. Growth chamber

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experiments of trees growing under different relative humidity treatments (to induce different

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stomatal conductance) suggest that higher stomatal conductance results in higher Hg0 diffusion

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rates into leaves, and higher tree-ring Hg concentrations.18 Differences in stomatal conductance

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between trees under the same ambient conditions can be explained by stomatal phenotypes (e.g.,

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density and aperture)18 or localized soil moisture variability which can elicit a stomatal response

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when moisture is limited.37,38 Differences in soil moisture availability across a boreal site could

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be influenced by heterogeneous drainage due to complex microtopography. The Scree Hill site

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has a gentle slope, but with complex microtopography owing to the underlying parent material

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(frost shattered rock and colluvium from the adjacent slope), frost mounds and hollows, and a

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spatially ubiquitous moss cover of variable thickness that insulates the ground. Site-level

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heterogeneity of soil moisture in nearby white spruce boreal woodlands is thought to be a major

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factor driving variable growth responses between trees at the same site.36 The phenology of tree-

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ring growth can also vary between trees due to variable moss thickness, which influences the

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onset and rate of springtime ground thaw and, therefore, availability of liquid water to plants.

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Dendrometer monitoring of active white spruce growth in the nearby Mackenzie Delta region

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confirms that the onset, intensity and duration of active growth varies between trees at the same

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site.39 Since atmospheric Hg0 concentration is known to vary seasonally (highest in the

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winter/spring and lowest in the late summer),40–42 it is plausible that slight phenological

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differences in active tree growth could lead to differences in mean tree-ring Hg concentration. If

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this mechanism is important, trees that grow proportionally more in the late summer (when

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atmospheric Hg0 concentration is lowest) would have lower mean tree-ring Hg concentrations.

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However, these possibilities remain speculative and future studies that control for these

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uncertainties are needed to advance knowledge of tree-specific bias in tree-ring Hg records.

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Systematic differences in mean tree-ring Hg concentration have potential implications for

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reconstructing long-term trends in atmospheric Hg0 based on a composite (site average) record of

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tree-ring Hg series from multiple individual trees. In cases where all sample trees contribute

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equally to each time step of the mean tree-ring Hg record (i.e., perfect temporal overlap of all

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contributing trees), then tree-specific bias should not have a disproportionate influence on overall

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trends in the average Hg record. But in cases where the mean record is the product of individual

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tree-ring series with unequal temporal coverage (as is true for the Scree Hill dataset), trends in

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the mean Hg concentration record can be skewed by tree-specific bias as the number of

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individual Hg series contributing to the mean record changes through time (see SI – ‘Erroneous

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trend’ cartoon illustrating pitfall of averaging individual tree-ring Hg records that cover different

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periods of time without first correcting for tree-specific bias). This problem is often avoided in

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traditional dendrochronology studies where cambial age trends in ring-width series are first

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detrended by dividing the raw ring-width series by its line of best-fit, which produces

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standardized indices normalized to a mean value of one.25 However, traditional curve-fit

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detrending methods are unable to perfectly separate the independent effects of cambial age

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(usually the dominant mode of variability) and climate signals in ring-width series, which results

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in some loss of low-frequency climate information in the standardized series.34 Progress to better

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separate the independent effects of cambial age and climate in tree-ring width series is described

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by Melvin and Briffa43 based on a method called ‘signal-free standardization’. The premise of

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the signal-free method is to define an initial ‘best estimate’ of the ‘common tree-ring signal’

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shared by the sampled population, which is then accounted for during the standardization

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procedure to more efficiently separate cambial age and other tree-specific trends in the raw ring-

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width series. In theory, and as demonstrated by pseudo-data simulations, the signal-free method

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optimizes removal of tree-specific trends from the individual series, which allows for a more

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accurate estimation of the primary environmental signal that is common to the sample population

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of trees.43

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The signal-free method can also be applied to the Scree Hill tree-ring Hg dataset to

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improve recovery of the common Hg signal, but in simplified form since there are no cambial

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age-related trends that would otherwise confound the initial best estimate of the common signal.

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The site average of all raw tree-ring Hg series (calculated here as the robust mean of all tree-ring

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Hg series) is a reasonable approximation of the common signal (Fig. 3). The mean differences

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between each raw tree-ring Hg series and the common signal (see ‘diff’ in Fig. 3), therefore, can

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be regarded as best estimates of tree-specific bias for each tree. These differences can then be

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subtracted from each of the raw tree-ring Hg series to account for tree-specific bias, which

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effectively normalizes to each individual series a common mean defined by all other trees during

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the period of overlap. Ultimately this procedure minimizes inter-tree Hg variance in the bias-

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adjusted dataset.

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Adjusting (i.e., normalizing) for tree-specific bias has no effect on the overall mean Hg concentration (1.22 ng g-1), but greatly reduces the spread of data around the site average record. 12 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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The mean inter-tree variance (σ2), averaged over all 5-year time-steps, is 0.47 ng g-1 for the raw

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dataset (Fig. 4a) and 0.32 ng g-1 for the bias-adjusted series (Fig. 4b). Alternatively, the improved

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spread of residuals can be quantified using the root-mean-squared-error (RMSE) statistic

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averaged over all 5-year time-steps; the raw dataset is characterized by an average RMSE of 1.49

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ng g-1 and the bias-adjusted dataset is characterized by an average RMSE of 1.05 ng g-1,

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indicating that the bias-adjusted site-average record better characterizes the full dataset than the

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raw site-average record. In general, the two site averages calculated from the raw and bias-

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adjusted Hg series are strongly correlated (r = 0.98) due to similar trends, but there is one notable

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difference with respect to the slope of the post-1950 CE trend. The raw tree-ring Hg average

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record shows a slightly positive, but statistically insignificant increase after 1950 CE (+0.01 ng

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g-1 decade-1, p = 0.09), whereas the bias-adjusted average record shows a significant positive

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trend (+0.04 ng g-1 decade-1, p < 0.01). These differences in trend are not trivial if the research

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objective is to characterize recent trends in atmospheric Hg0, and highlights the need to account

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for tree-specific bias in order to most accurately constrain the average record and trends related

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to atmospheric change. The bias-adjusted site average record (Fig. 4b) is superior in this regard

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and we base our subsequent discussions of long-term trends on this record.

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Aside from tree-specific bias in mean value, individual series also contain a significant

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fraction of random noise that is unrelated to the common signal. This is demonstrated by a less

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than perfect average correlation between each of the individual tree-ring Hg series and the site

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average tree-ring Hg record defined by all other trees (rmaster = 0.32, p < 0.02, mean series length

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= 42 data points). A similar correlation analysis based on first differences calculated for the bias-

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adjusted series, thereby retaining only high-frequency variance, yields a lower rmaster of 0.07

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(n.s.). This reveals that high-frequency (sub-decadal) variability is generally uncorrelated

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between trees and tends to pull down the overall correlation. Conversely, rmaster increases when

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the dataset is smoothed (e.g., rmaster increases to 0.41 when all series are first smoothed with a 40-

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year cubic spline). One likely reason for the high-frequency noise in the Scree Hill dataset is our

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sub-sampling strategy, specifically that annual ring increments within each 5-year block were not

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forced have the same proportional contribution; rather, they reflect the natural weighting of the 5

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rings as they are represented in the individual core samples. Interannual growth ring patterns can

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vary around the circumference of an individual tree and between trees for various reasons,

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including phenotype disposition or localized disturbance. Since atmospheric Hg0 is not constant

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from year to year, unequal representation of annual increments in the 5-year blocks could lead to

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seemingly random differences between individual tree-ring Hg series. Finally, it is important to

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recognise that a small fraction of the noise in the Scree Hill dataset is likely due to analytical

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precision (e.g., 4.8% RSD for the powdered wood standard) and potentially intra-tree

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heterogeneity in Hg concentration. For our samples measured in duplicate (every 9th sample, or

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~11% of all samples), an average standard deviation of 0.1 ng g-1 was observed. The 1σ of 0.1 ng

309

g-1 for duplicate measurements is slightly higher than the expected 1σ analytical uncertainty of

310

0.06 ng g-1 (assuming a mean tree-ring Hg concentration of 1.22 ng g-1 and analytical precision

311

of 4.8%), which suggests intra-tree-ring Hg heterogeneity may have some (albeit a fairly small)

312

effect on tree-ring Hg series.

313

Although high-frequency coherence is generally low in our dataset, there is some

314

evidence of high-frequency coherence at ca.1698 CE where several trees (n = 10) document a

315

short-lived spike in local Hg0 (Fig. 4b). The 1698 CE data point represents an average Hg

316

concentration of the tree-rings dating to 1696-1700 CE and, therefore, the putative increase in

317

local Hg0 may have occurred in any one or several of these years. The average tree-ring Hg

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concentration for the 1698 CE data point is 0.45 ng g-1 higher than the previous 5-year data point

319

(1693 CE). This anomaly is ~4.5 standard deviations greater than the average difference between

320

consecutive data points and, therefore, the 1698 CE data point is a statistical outlier in the

321

context of the 400-year record. The origin of this putative Hg0 increase at ca.1698 CE could be

322

from a local wildfire or volcanism in Yukon or Alaska; however, there are no historical records

323

dating to back this far to confirm either of the possible sources. Industrial activity is unlikely the

324

cause, since central Yukon remained undeveloped until the late 19th century. Tree-ring Hg

325

records from other sites in the region are needed to better understand the spatial extent of the

326

ca.1698 CE event, which may provide more evidence on the cause.

327

Regardless of cause, the ca.1698 CE anomaly demonstrates that tree-ring Hg series do

328

preserve some high-frequency information that can be recovered with sufficient replication. This

329

example also demonstrates that tree-ring Hg trends are preserved over long time-scales. In a

330

recent growth chamber study, Arnold et al.18 presented some evidence of radial translocation of

331

Hg between adjacent rings, with the implication being that tree-ring Hg trends may not be stable

332

over long periods. However, the existence of common Hg trends such as the ca.1698 CE

333

anomaly suggests otherwise. Radial translocation had more than 300 years to redistribute Hg to

334

adjacent rings, and the fact that these rings (1696-1700 CE) retained such a high Hg content

335

relative to adjacent rings after so three centuries implies that radial translocation is negligible.

336

3.3 Tree-ring mean Hg concentrations

337

The Scree Hill dataset is characterized by raw Hg concentrations for individual trees

338

ranging from 0.3 to 3.2 ng g-1; the mean tree-ring Hg record spans a range of concentrations from

339

0.7 to 1.9 ng g-1 with an overall mean concentration of 1.22 ng g-1. These observations fall on the

340

lower end of published tree-ring Hg concentrations11–17,19,20,44–47 which range from 0.2 to 644 ng 15 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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g-1. However, it is important to note that the upper range of the published values is defined by

342

sites in close proximity to major Hg emission sources. Wood Hg concentrations less than 5 ng g-1

343

are more typical for Pinaceae trees from unpolluted sites in North America.16,44,48

344

The nearest industrial Hg0 emission source to Scree Hill would have been the Klondike

345

gold mining district near Dawson City (Fig. 1), which has a legacy of Hg pollution at some sites

346

(e.g., Bear Creek) where fine gold was recovered from placer ore with the Hg amalgam method.

347

However, the Klondike is ~130 km SW of Scree Hill and likely too far to significantly influence

348

regional atmospheric concentrations. In a study of Scots pine in the Czech Republic, Navrátil et

349

al.14 found that tree-ring Hg concentrations were significantly elevated within a radius of 4 km of

350

a major chlor-alkali plant (~5× higher than values at a control site 37 km away), but that tree-ring

351

Hg concentrations beyond that perimeter (e.g., 4-9 km) were no different from the control site.

352

Considering the great distance between Scree Hill and the Klondike, and that the upper range of

353

Scree Hill tree-ring Hg values is consistent with wood Hg values observed in Picea glauca trees

354

at pristine sites44, it seems more likely that the Scree Hill record (Fig. 3b) captures the untainted

355

signal of regional atmospheric change, integrating the global background as well as Hg emission

356

sources that are atmospherically upstream from the site, including outgassing volcanoes in

357

southern Alaska and industrial emission sources in Eurasia.

358

3.4 Long-term trends in tree-ring Hg (1606-2015 CE)

359

Here, we focus our discussion on long-term trends in the mean record which are most

360

relevant for comparison with other long natural Hg records, including lake sediments, ice cores

361

and peat cores. However, it is important to note that while all of these proxies are generally

362

interpreted to reflect long-term changes in local atmospheric Hg, they do not all accumulate Hg

363

inputs in the same manner. For example, tree-rings and peat cores are primarily proxies for 16 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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364

atmospheric Hg0 concentrations, while lake sediments record atmospheric deposition of oxidized

365

Hg(II) to the lake and its watershed. Therefore, differences and similarities between different

366

proxy records should be interpreted with some degree of caution.

367

The Scree Hill bias-adjusted tree-ring Hg record (Fig. 4b) is defined by 6 or more trees

368

for all 5-year increments after 1643 CE, and 10.3 trees on average for the period of record. The

369

mean record shows little change in Hg concentration prior to ca. 1750 CE, with a mean of 0.90 ±

370

0.12 ng g-1. From 1751-1850 CE, Hg concentrations increase at a rate of 0.025 ± 0.006 ng g-1

371

decade-1 (p = 3.3×10-4), and then at a faster rate of 0.035 ± 0.005 ng g-1 decade-1 (p = 4.1 ×10-6)

372

from 1851-1950 CE. There is brief plateau in the Hg trend during the mid-20th century, and then

373

a continued increase at a rate of 0.037 ± 0.010 ng g-1 decade-1 from 1951-2015 CE (p = 0.003).

374

The mean Hg concentration post-1951 CE was 1.61 ± 0.10 ng g-1, with a maximum of 1.85 ng g-1

375

for the terminal 5-year increment (2011-2015).

376

The increasing trend in tree-ring Hg concentrations from ca. 1750-1850 CE pre-dates the

377

large, post-1850 increase observed in most natural archives of atmospheric Hg deposition, such

378

as lake sediments,49 peat cores5 and ice cores3,4, although a small increase in Hg accumulation in

379

the late 1700s is apparent in the nearby Mt. Logan ice core record from SW Yukon.3 The mid-

380

1700s also marks the start of a sustained increase in a long tree-ring record from Nevada.16 As

381

this early increase is observed in both tree-rings and ice cores from Yukon, it seems likely that

382

Hg0 levels were regionally elevated at the time. The timing of this increase coincides with the

383

later period of colonial silver mining in Spanish America (1572-1833 CE) that used Hg

384

amalgamation50,51 which resulted in locally elevated Hg accumulation in lake sediments7,52 and

385

trace metal deposition in glacier ice.53 It is unclear if this is the emission source reflected in the

386

Yukon ice core and tree-ring records. Many lake sediment cores in North America do not show a 17 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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significant Hg increase during this period, which has been suggested as evidence that Hg

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emissions associated with early South American colonial mining did not significantly impact the

389

North American continent.49 Regardless of source, our data suggest that the assumption of

390

constant anthropogenic emissions from 1570-1850 CE, as in some global biogeochemical

391

models,32,33,54 may not be valid and may in fact underestimate Hg emissions upwind of NW

392

North America. Although additional tree-ring records from other locales are needed to

393

substantiate this.

394

From 1851 to 1950 CE, tree-ring Hg concentrations continue to increase, likely due to a

395

combination of Hg emissions associated with silver and gold mining in North America in the late

396

19th century, and continued industrialization in Europe and North America.33 Increases in tree-

397

ring Hg concentrations through this interval are also observed in several tree-ring Hg records

398

from sites in the eastern Sierra Nevada Mountain Range, characterized by trends of +0.033 to

399

+0.16 ng g-1 per decade over the period 1900-200016 Over the same period, the Scree Hill record

400

shows a smaller rate of increase of +0.013 ng g-1 per decade. The larger rate of increase in the

401

eastern Sierra Nevada Range may reflect locally elevated atmospheric Hg0 concentrations from

402

local mining sources,16 or simply regional differences in Hg cycling.

403

The small plateau observed in the Scree Hill record after 1950 could be the result of

404

declining anthropogenic Hg emissions during the 1940s.33 Previous estimates suggest that

405

anthropogenic Hg emissions globally peaked in 197055 and stabilized thereafter.33 However, our

406

record shows a continued rise in tree-ring Hg concentrations up until the present day, likely

407

because emitted Hg can continue to cycle actively between various compartments (e.g.,

408

atmosphere, surface ocean, fast terrestrial reservoir) for years to decades,54 thereby smoothing

409

out the emission signal recorded in tree-rings. It is interesting to note that the large (up to 1-2% 18 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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410

year-1) decline in atmospheric Hg0 concentrations reported for parts of temperate North America

411

and western Europe since 199056 is not supported by the Scree Hill tree-ring record, nor is it

412

supported by lake sediment core records from nearby Alaska49. This discrepancy may be due to

413

atmospheric Hg0 in Yukon and Alaska being mainly influenced by Asian sources,57 which have

414

continued to increase to present day,33 thus resulting in smaller declines in atmospheric Hg0

415

concentrations and deposition compared to temperate North America.57 However, it remains the

416

case that measurements of atmospheric Hg in northern Canada in general are showing decreasing

417

Hg0 concentrations in the past 20 years or so, 42 while proxy archives such as sediment cores,8,49

418

and now tree-rings, are suggesting a sustained increase in atmospheric Hg concentration and

419

deposition to the present.

420

Proxy records are also useful for quantifying the enrichment of mercury in ecosystems

421

due to anthropogenic emissions. Enrichment Factor (EF) estimates are typically calculated as the

422

ratio of the modern to pre-industrial Hg concentration (or flux). Amos et al.32 recently calculated

423

median EF values (pre-industrial baseline = 1760-1880) for lake sediment and peat core records,

424

which range from 3 (lake sediments) to 4.3 (peat cores) and broadly agree with model-based EF

425

estimates. In nearby Alaska, Engstrom et al.49 calculated EFs (pre-industrial baseline = pre-1500

426

CE) for 8 lake sediment core records with EF values ranging from 2.2-5.2 (median = 2.9). Based

427

on the Scree Hill record, we estimate an EF of 1.9 when comparing post-1991 and pre-1750 CE

428

tree-ring Hg concentrations (excluding the outlier 1698 CE data point). We used the post-1991

429

period since we did not observe a distinct mid-20th century maximum as other studies have noted

430

(e.g., Horowitz et al.55).

431

The overall EF calculated for the Scree Hill record is similar to the low-end of EF values

432

from lake sediment records in nearby Alaska, but less than the median of 2.9 from these Alaskan 19 ACS Paragon Plus Environment

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records.49 This discrepancy is possibly explained by differences in pre-industrial baseline period,

434

where the pre-1500 CE baseline assumed by Engstrom et al.49 would favor higher EF values on

435

average due to lower Hg concentrations for most Alaskan lakes further back in time. Estimates of

436

EF are particularly sensitive to the pre-industrial baseline,32 and our record does not extend as far

437

back in time as many sediment records do. Alternatively, some differences may be explained by

438

spatial variability in Hg deposition due to continentality. Models show highly variable patterns of

439

Hg concentrations and deposition in northwestern Canada57, although recent temporal trends in

440

central Yukon have not been monitored empirically. The nearest sites where gaseous elemental

441

Hg has been monitored semi-continuously are at Little Fox Lake (~500 km away) near the city of

442

Whitehorse in southern Yukon, and Barrow, coastal northern Alaska (~1000 km away), both of

443

which have only a couple years of data and cannot be used to constrain long-term trends42. The

444

lack of long-term direct measurements of Hg in this region highlights the need to develop proxy-

445

based Hg records from tree-rings and other natural archives to fill knowledge gaps.

446

Seasonality of Hg0 uptake in trees may also influence long-term enrichment in our record.

447

Since stomatal uptake of Hg0 and fixation in tree-rings is limited to the summer months, winter

448

signals may be effectively ‘missed’ by tree-rings, which may lead to some differences in Hg

449

trends between tree-rings and other proxy types such as lake sediments or peatlands which

450

integrate year-round Hg deposition. Seasonal differences in mean Hg0 concentration in the

451

Northern Hemisphere are higher in the winter due to a combination of elevated anthropogenic

452

emissions and longer lifetime against oxidation.41 However, it is not yet clear whether temporal

453

trends differ by season, and highlights a strength of tree-rings which can be used to isolate long-

454

term trends in summertime Hg0. Finally, it is also important to note that sedimentary proxies may

455

integrate non-atmospheric inputs, including remobilized legacy Hg from the catchment9, which

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456

again is another factor that may explain differences between lake sediment Hg and tree-ring Hg

457

records. Indeed, the fact that trees maintain a fixed position on the landscape throughout their

458

lifetime and are thought to uptake Hg0 primarily from air and not soil18,20,45 make tree-rings an

459

ideal proxy for isolating temporal changes in atmospheric Hg0.

460

Globally, the all-time EF (pre-1550 CE baseline) has been estimated to be significantly

461

larger than the pre-industrial EF (1760-1880 CE)5,32, which demonstrates a significant

462

anthropogenic influence on atmospheric Hg deposition that predates the industrial era.51,52 Tree-

463

ring records can provide valuable insights on the all-time anthropogenic Hg enrichment, but this

464

will require longer tree-ring Hg datasets than Scree Hill. Millennial length tree-ring width and

465

tree-ring density chronologies have been developed in neighboring Alaska and Northwest

466

Territories35,36 and, therefore, this particular region holds potential for developing sufficiently

467

long tree-ring Hg-based estimates of the all-time EF.

468

469

Acknowledgements

470

We thank Jonny Vandewint, Gerard Otiniano, Aleesha Bakkelund and Avneet Ghotra for their

471

assistance in the field and lab. Financial support for this project was provided by Natural

472

Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada Discovery Grants to TP and IL,

473

Connaught New Researcher Awards to TP and IL, and a Canadian Foundation for Innovation

474

John Evans Leadership Fund Award to IL and TP.

475

476

Supplementary Information

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One illustration of ‘erroneous trend’ caused by tree-specific bias (SI – erroneous trend.pdf); and

478

one zip-file (Supporting Information files.zip) containing tree-ring Hg data (SI - Tree-ring Hg

479

data.xlsx) and a COFECHA cross-dating report (SI – COFECHA report.txt).

480

481

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510, 16–27.

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Figure captions

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Fig 1. Regional map showing the location of the Scree Hill (SH1) site. This map was created using MATLAB 2014b with the open-source M_Map v1.4j mapping package.58,59

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Fig 2. (a) Scree Hill ring-width series aligned by cambial age (grey lines – all trees; thin black line – average record), and a negative exponential curve fit to years 1-270 of the average record (thick black line; dashed line is an extrapolation of the negative exponential curve beyond cambial age 270). (b) Treering Hg series aligned by cambial age (grey lines), and average records calculated based on all data (black line) and pre-1850 CE data only (red line); average records were calculated for years defined by 3 or more trees. (c) Sample replication with respect to the ‘all data’ (black) and ‘pre-1850 CE only’ (red) average Hg records in sub-plot ‘b’. This figure was created using MATLAB 2014b.58

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Fig 3: Comparisons of the individual raw tree-ring Hg series (red lines; tree ID is indicated) against the ‘site average’ tree-ring Hg record (black line) calculated from all other tree-ring Hg series (grey lines). The mean concentration difference (diff.) between each of the individual series and the site average is indicated. Tree IDs from living trees are marked with an ‘*’. This figure was created using MATLAB 2014b.58

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Fig 4: (a) Raw and (b) bias-adjusted tree-ring Hg series (grey lines), site average records (black lines) and 40-year cubic smoothing splines (red lines). Site averages are calculated for all years defined by 3 or more trees. Natural breaks in temporal trend are marked with dashed lines, corresponding to 1750, 1850 and 1950 CE. The 1σ confidence interval (yellow area; excludes outliers defined as points that are 1.5× the inter-quartile range from the mean) is indicated for the bias-adjusted series. (c) Sample replication (black line) and coverage for each tree is indicated (horizontal bars; white dots indicate missing data). This figure was created using MATLAB 2014b.58

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Fig 1. Regional map showing the location of the Scree Hill (SH1) site. This map was created using MATLAB 2014b with the open-source M_Map v1.4j mapping package.58,59 249x199mm (300 x 300 DPI)

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Fig 2. (a) Scree Hill ring-width series aligned by cambial age (grey lines – all trees; thin black line – average record), and a negative exponential curve fit to years 1-270 of the average record (thick black line; dashed line is an extrapolation of the negative exponential curve beyond cambial age 270). (b) Tree-ring Hg series aligned by cambial age (grey lines), and average records calculated based on all data (black line) and pre1850 CE data only (red line); average records were calculated for years defined by 3 or more trees. (c) Sample replication with respect to the ‘all data’ (black) and ‘pre-1850 CE only’ (red) average Hg records in sub-plot ‘b’. This figure was created using MATLAB 2014b.58 177x199mm (300 x 300 DPI)

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Fig 3: Comparisons of the individual raw tree-ring Hg series (red lines; tree ID is indicated) against the ‘site average’ tree-ring Hg record (black line) calculated from all other tree-ring Hg series (grey lines). The mean concentration difference (diff.) between each of the individual series and the site average is indicated. Tree IDs from living trees are marked with an ‘*’. This figure was created using MATLAB 2014b.58 348x199mm (300 x 300 DPI)

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Fig 4: (a) Raw and (b) bias-adjusted tree-ring Hg series (grey lines), site average records (black lines) and 40-year cubic smoothing splines (red lines). Site averages are calculated for all years defined by 3 or more trees. Natural breaks in temporal trend are marked with dashed lines, corresponding to 1750, 1850 and 1950 CE. The 1σ confidence interval (yellow area; excludes outliers defined as points that are 1.5× the inter-quartile range from the mean) is indicated for the bias-adjusted series. (c) Sample replication (black line) and coverage for each tree is indicated (horizontal bars; white dots indicate missing data). This figure was created using MATLAB 2014b.58 152x198mm (300 x 300 DPI)

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