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Appearances of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant-derived 137Cs in coastal waters around Japan: Results from marine monitoring off nuclear power plants and facilities, 1983–2016 Hyoe Takata, Masashi Kusakabe, Naohiko Inatomi, and Takahito Ikenoue Environ. Sci. Technol., Just Accepted Manuscript • DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.7b03956 • Publication Date (Web): 16 Jan 2018 Downloaded from http://pubs.acs.org on January 16, 2018
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Appearances of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant-derived 137Cs in coastal
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waters around Japan: Results from marine monitoring off nuclear power plants and
3
facilities, 1983–2016
4 5
Hyoe Takata*, Masashi Kusakabe, Naohiko Inatomi, Takahito Ikenoue
6
7
Central Laboratory, Marine Ecology Research Institute, 300 Iwawada, Onjuku-machi,
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Isumi-gun, Chiba 299-5105, Japan
9 137
10
ABSTRACT: Monitoring of
11
1983 and 2016 yielded new insights into the sources and transport of Fukushima
12
Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP)-derived 137Cs, particularly along the west coast of Japan.
13
Before the FDNPP accident (1983–2010), the activity concentrations of
14
from fallout, were decreasing exponentially. Effective
15
seawater ranged from 15.6 to 18.4 yr. After the FDNPP accident (March 2011)
16
activity concentrations in seawater off Fukushima and neighboring prefectures
17
immediately increased. Since May/June 2011,
18
been declining, and they are now approaching pre-accident levels. Along the west coast
19
of Japan remote from FDNPP (i.e., the Japan Sea), however, radiocesium activity
Cs in seawater in coastal areas around Japan between
137
137
Cs, mainly
Cs half-lives in surface 137
Cs
137
Cs activity concentrations there have
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concentrations started increasing by 2013, with earlier (May/June 2011) increases at
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some sites due to airborne transport and fallout. The inventory of
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(in the main body of the Tsushima Warm Current) in 2016 was calculated to be 0.97 ×
23
1014 Bq, meaning that 0.44 × 1014 Bq of FDNPP-derived
24
estimated global fallout
25
137
26
accounts for approximately 0.2% of the total
27
from the accident.
137
137
Cs in the Japan
Cs was added to the
137
Cs inventory in 2016 (0.53 × 1014 Bq). The net increase of
Cs inventory in the Japan Sea through the addition of FDNPP-derived
137
Cs
137
Cs flux from the plant to the ocean
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1. INTRODUCTION
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All of the nuclear power plants and nuclear reprocessing facilities in Japan are
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located on the coast. The integrity of the marine environment with respect to
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radioactivity is a great concern to the public, especially the safety of fishery products.
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Since 1984, the Marine Ecology Research Institute (Chiba, Japan) has been monitoring
33
levels of radioactive materials in the waters off nuclear power plants and nuclear
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reprocessing facilities under contract with the Science and Technology Agency (AST,
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1983–2001), the Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology
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(MEXT, 2001–2013), and the Secretariat of the Nuclear Regulation Authority of Japan
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(NRA, 2013–present). Targets of the monitoring include seawater, bottom sediment,
38
and fish.
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Since right after the accident at the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant
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(FDNPP), there has been additional monitoring in the waters off Fukushima and
41
nearby prefectures. Although the results from this latter monitoring have been
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documented in several scientific papers1,2 among others, results from the former have
43
been published only in the project reports (in Japanese) and a few scientific papers3.
44
This paper has two goals: (1) to describe the spatiotemporal variation of
137
Cs
45
activity concentrations in seawater in the coastal areas off nuclear power plants in
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Japan from 1983 to 2010, and (2) to evaluate the impacts of the FDNPP accident in
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these coastal waters, with emphasis on the delayed increase of
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concentrations from 2013 to 2016 in areas remote from the accident site.
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137
Cs activity
49
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2. MATERIALS AND METHODS
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2.1. Oceanographic setting of sampling sites. Monitoring was carried out at 15
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sampling sites adjacent to nuclear power plants, including one station near the
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Higashi-dori Nuclear Power Plant still under construction (Figure 1). Four major ocean
54
currents flow around the Japanese Islands, possibly affecting the spatial distributions of
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man-made radionuclides such as radiocesium: the Tsugaru Warm Current, the Oyashio,
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the Kuroshio, and the Tsushima Warm Current (TWC). Our sampling sites can be
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grouped into three areas on the basis of the related current systems as follows (Figure
58
1).
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Area I: Aomori (HG), Miyagi (MI), Fukushima-daiichi (FSN), Fukushima-daini
60
(FSS), and Ibaraki (IB) sites. Oceanographic conditions in this area are variable
61
because of the coexistence of the Tsugaru Warm Current, the Oyashio, and the
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Kuroshio.
63 64 65
Area II: Shizuoka (SZ), Ehime (EH), Saga (SG), and Kagoshima (KG) sites. The Kuroshio and/or TWC predominate in this area in all seasons. Area III: Hokkaido (HK), Niigata (NI), Ishikawa (IS), Fukui-daiichi (FKE),
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Fukui-daini (FKW), and Shimane (SM) sites. These sites are located in the Japan Sea,
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where the horizontal migration of water masses is controlled by the TWC flowing from
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the North Pacific through the East China Sea over the sill of the Tsushima Strait.
69 70
2.2. Sampling. Each site has four sampling stations, where seawater was collected
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annually from just below the surface (0–1-m depth interval) and bottom layers (10–30
72
m above the seafloor) during May–June (Table S1, Supporting Information). Note that
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the locations of most of the sampling stations during the early stage of the project (i.e.,
74
1983–1987) were slightly different from those from 1988 to the present. Detailed
75
sampling positions are given in Table S2 of the Supporting Information.
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Surface water samples were taken directly from just below the surface using an
77
electric pump, a Van Dorn-type large volume water bottle (Rigo Co. Ltd., Tokyo,
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Japan) or a Niskin-X bottle water sampling system with multiple sampling bottles
79
(General Oceanics, Inc., Miami, FL, USA). Bottom water was collected using Van
80
Dorn or Niskin-X samplers. Each bottom-water sampler was equipped with a
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conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) profiler system (SBE 9plus, Sea-Bird
82
Electronics, Inc., Bellevue, WA, USA). From both surface and bottom seawater
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samples, a total of 100 L was distributed into five 20-L aliquots in polypropylene
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bottles to which were added 40 mL of 6 M HCl to maintain acidic conditions.
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2.3. Determination of radiocesium. From each seawater sample, half (50 L) was
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used for radiocesium measurement. Cesium was separated by co-precipitation with
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ammonium phosphomolybdate (AMP) and then purified with a cation exchange
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column. After cesium was precipitated as cesium chloroplatinate, its radioactivity was
90
determined using a gas-flow type low-background anti-coincidence beta counter
91
(LBC-471Q, Aloka Co. Ltd. Japan). This counter has high efficiency for detecting the
92
beta ray from radiocesium, but it does not discriminate
93
concentrations of
94
virtually zero, even in 1986 when the Chernobyl Power Plant accident occurred. It has
95
been confirmed that
96
(right after the Chernobyl accident) and 1987 by analyzing those samples with a
97
gamma ray spectrometer in 1987, so the pre-accident radiocesium activity
98
concentration based on the beta counter represents the activity concentration of 137Cs.
134
134
Cs from
137
Cs. The activity
Cs in seawater before the FDNPP accident (1983–2010) were
134
Cs was not detected in samples collected in the years of 1986
99
The same method using AMP precipitation and a beta counter was also used for
100
samples taken after the FDNPP accident in 2011, except for one surface water sample
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collected each year at station 1 at each site (total, 15 samples per year). The reported
102
activity concentrations for this period, therefore, are the sum of 134Cs and 137Cs activity
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concentrations (see Table S2 for details).
104
The detection limits for radiocesium were set to three times the value of the
105
counting statistics error; the minimum detectable activities were expected to be 1.0
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mBq/L for counting times of thousands of seconds. The activity concentrations of
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radiocesium in the water samples were decay-corrected to the sampling date.
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2.4. Gamma-ray spectrometry. Because
134
Cs and
137
Cs were detected in
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seawater samples collected immediately after the FDNPP accident1, radiocesium in
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surface seawater samples from each site in 2011 and in all samples collected from
112
2012 to 2016 was measured by gamma-ray spectrometry.
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Cesium in 50-L seawater sample was co-precipitated with AMP after adjusting the
114
sample pH to around 1 with hydrochloric or nitric acid. The activity of radiocesium
115
(134Cs and 137Cs) in AMP was measured using coaxial-type Ge detectors. The detection
116
limits for
117
error; the minimum detectable activities of
118
mBq/L for counting times of tens of thousands of seconds. The activity concentrations
119
of radiocesium in the water samples were decay-corrected to the sampling date.
134
Cs and
137
Cs were set to three times the value of the counting statistics 134
Cs and
137
Cs were expected to be 1.0
120
121
122
3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
3.1.
137
Cs distributions before the FDNPP accident. Monitoring data were used 137
123
to determine the spatiotemporal distributions of
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(Figure 2 and Table S1). The origin of most
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Japan Sea before the FDNPP accident can be traced to the global fallout from nuclear
137
Cs in the three sampling areas
Cs in the North Pacific Ocean and the
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weapons testing carried out in the 1950s and 1960s. The distribution and influence of
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FDNPP-derived radiocesium in the three sampling areas are clearly different because
128
of the current systems described in section 2.1. We therefore separately evaluated the
129
distributions of 137Cs in seawater for each area.
130 131
3.1.1. Surface waters. In the two decades following the end of atmospheric 137
132
nuclear weapons testing,
133
Pacific decreased to about 10 mBq/L by the early 1980s4. During 1983–1985, before
134
the Chernobyl NPP accident (1986),
135
study ranged from 3.3 to 5.6 mBq/L with an average of 4.1 mBq/L. In 1986,
136
concentrations in the surface waters increased to as much as 10 mBq/L in the northern
137
area (Site NI) of Area III 2–3 months after the Chernobyl NPP accident (Figure 2), yet
138
134
139
concentrations returned to 3.3–4.8 mBq/L, which was almost the same as in 1983–
140
1985, suggesting that the impact of the Chernobyl accident on the surface seawater in
141
those areas was insignificant compared to that from the global fallout from nuclear
142
weapons testing. After 1987, the following year after the Chernobyl accident,
143
concentrations in the surface waters decreased to a maximum of 1.9 mBq/L in 2010
144
(mean, 1.5 mBq/L).
Cs activity concentrations in surface waters in the North
137
Cs activity concentrations over all areas in this
Cs was not detected in any samples. In the following year, 1987, the
137
Cs
137
Cs activity
137
Cs
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3.1.2. Bottom waters. Because the bottom waters were collected 10–30 m above
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the seafloor, their sampling depths ranged from a few tens to several hundreds of
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meters. Thus,
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along with the sampling depths.
137
Cs activity concentrations in bottom waters are plotted in Figure 2
150
In Area I from 1983 to 2010, 137Cs activity concentrations in bottom water at sites
151
MI, FSN, FSS, and IB were almost the same as those in surface water because of
152
vigorous vertical mixing in these shallow waters (35–160 m). At site HG, however,
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137
154
(0.49–1.6 mBq/L) compared with those in the surface waters (1.1–2.5 mBq/L) because
155
the bottom samples were collected from greater depths (440–660 m).
Cs activity concentrations in bottom water from 2003 to 2010 were relatively low
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In Area II, 137Cs levels in bottom water from shallow sampling depths ( 0.90 in Table 1) suggest
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that these are reasonable estimates of the effective half-lives.
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The effective 137Cs half-lives in surface seawater ranged from 15.6 to 18.4 yr. The
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average effective surface-water half-life of 137Cs in the three areas ranged from 15.8 to
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17.6 y. The overall effective half-life in surface waters for all sites was estimated as
214
16.6 ± 0.7 y (mean ± s.d.). This value is within the range of 16–19 y calculated for the
215
western North Pacific4 and the Japan Sea7–9. In this study, however, the values were
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slightly higher in Area II (17.6 ± 0.7 y) than in Area I (15.8 ± 0.2 y), probably because
217
of the weaker dilution effect from mixing of surface water with
218
water in Area II, the Kuroshio area, than in Area I.
219
The effective half-life of
137
137
Cs-spears deep
Cs in bottom waters ranged from 14.3 to 23.4 y.
220
Distinctively high effective half-lives of 22.2 y and 23.4 y were found at sites HK and
221
NI, respectively, in the northern part of the Japan Sea; these longer half-lives were
222
likely due to sluggish exchange of deep water. As for the other sites, the effective
223
half-lives were variable within the range of 14.3–17.6 y, comparable to the range for
224
the corresponding surface waters, probably indicating that radiocesium was well mixed
225
vertically throughout the water column in those areas.
226 227
3.2.
137
Cs distribution after the FDNPP accident. The total amount of
228
FDNPP-derived radiocesium released directly into seawater within one month after the
229
accident was estimated to be about 3 PBq10, although another study reported an
230
estimated direct discharge of 27 PBq 11. Of the 137Cs released to the atmosphere (15–20
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PBq), 12–15 PBq was deposited on the surface of the North Pacific Ocean12. The
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detailed behavior of FDNPP-derived radiocesium in seawater around the FDNPP
233
corresponding to our Area I has been reported1,13–15. In this section, we focus on the
234
fate and effect of FDNPP-derived radiocesium on the other coastal areas in Japan,
235
especially Areas II and III. As noted in section 2.3, values for radiocesium in most
236
seawater samples collected during May–June 2011 are reported as the sum of 134Cs and
237
137
Cs (134+137Cs) in Figure 2.
238 239
3.2.1. Surface waters. As a result of atmospheric input and direct release of 137
240
radionuclides to the coastal waters off Fukushima and neighboring prefectures,
241
activity concentrations in seawater near the FDNPP have exceeded 1 × 107 mBq/L
242
during the period of late March–early April 201110,11. Our monitoring showed
243
FDNPP-derived radiocesium (134+137Cs) activity concentrations increasing in surface
244
seawater in Area I in May–June 2011, ranging from 27 to 510 mBq/L with a mean of
245
190 mBq/L. The
246
activity concentrations ranged from 1.9 to 5.0 mBq/L with a mean of 2.7 mBq/L,
247
approaching the level for this area before the FDNPP accident (range, 1.1–1.8 mBq/L;
248
mean, 1.5 mBq/L; n = 20).
249
In Areas II and III,
137
Cs activity concentration then declined with time. In 2016,
137
Cs
Cs
137
Cs activity concentrations were relatively high (2.1–5.2
250
mBq/L) at station 1 of sites SZ, HK, and NI in May–June 2011, compared with the
251
corresponding values in 2010 (1.4–1.5 mBq/L). In the following year, however, the
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137
253
activity concentrations in 2012 (range, 1.0–2.2 mBq/L; mean, 1.7 mBq/L; n = 40) were
254
similar to those in 2010 (range, 1.3–1.9 mBq/L; mean, 1.6 mBq/L; n = 40).
Cs activity concentrations decreased to pre-accident levels at all sites (Figure 2). The
255
It is worth noting that the 137Cs activity concentrations increased steadily from 2013
256
to 2016 in Areas II and III. In particular, in the Japan Sea (i.e. Area III), the annual
257
mean of the 137Cs activity concentrations in surface waters increased from 2013 (range,
258
1.6–2.2 mBq/L; mean, 1.9 mBq/L; n = 24) to 2016 (range, 1.9–2.5 mBq/L; mean, 2.2
259
mBq/L; n = 24) (Figure S2). It is interesting that the
260
Areas II and III, remote from the accident site, have been increasing while the input to
261
the marine environment from the FDNPP dropped by orders of magnitude10,14. In 2015
262
and 2016, another study detected 134Cs from the FDNPP accident along the coast of the
263
Japan Sea16. The monitoring results in this study indicate that the
264
concentration started increasing in the Japan Sea in 2013 at the latest (Figure 2).
265
137
Cs activity concentrations in
As shown in section 3.1.1., the activity concentration of
137
Cs activity
137
Cs in surface waters
266
had been decreasing exponentially with time over two decades beginning in the 1980s.
267
Taking into account this decrease, we attempted to evaluate the net increase of
268
after the FDNPP accident at each site as follows. We generated a time series of the
269
ratios between the observed
270
background 137Cs (i.e. bomb-derived 137Cs) activity concentration (Csbkgd) based on the
271
regression line for each site (Figure 3). The strong correlation coefficients obtained (r
272
> 0.90) suggest that the estimated
137
137
Cs
Cs activity concentration (Csobs) and the estimated
137
Cs activity concentrations at each site were
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reasonable for 1983–2010 (except for the years of the Chernobyl NPP accident, 1986
274
and 1987); the activity concentration ratios were approximately equal to 1.0 throughout
275
that time.
276
Immediately after the FDNPP accident in 2011, the activity ratios in Area I
277
increased above 1.0, as confirmed by a one-tailed Student’s t test. This suggests the
278
addition of
279
radionuclides were also atmospherically transported northwestward to the northern
280
areas of the Japan Sea in late March of 201117. The ratios then decreased with time as a
281
result of water mixing and advection as follows: In Areas II and III, the activity
282
concentration changes led to an increase in the ratios in 2011, returning to pre-accident
283
levels (average, 1.1) in the following year (Figure 3). A similar temporal change was
284
observed in 1987, the year after the Chernobyl NPP accident (Figure 2). This pattern
285
suggests that airborne transport of FDNPP-derived
286
minimal impact on these areas. The migration of
287
not to affect those two areas immediately after the accident because the Kuroshio
288
forms a southern boundary for Area I for the transport of radiocesium. The main body
289
of contaminated waters therefore moved east along the boundary formed by the
290
Kuroshio18.
137
Cs from the FDNPP accident via atmospheric transport because the
137
137
Cs from the accident had a
Cs with water currents appeared
291
Since 2013, the ratios in Areas II and III have been gradually increasing (Figure 3).
292
In the Japan Sea (Area III) the ratios in 2011 were 1.35–1.73 at site HK (in the
293
northern Japan Sea), 1.40–1.75 at site FKE (mid-way in the Japan Sea), and 1.30–1.85
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at site SM (southern Japan Sea). Most of the ratios in those areas, however, fell below
295
the threshold for outliers (below the red lines in Figure 3) in 2012. However, statistical
296
analysis of the ratios using the data from 1988 to 2016 suggests that most of the ratios
297
from 2013 to 2016 in Areas II and III were again outliers at a significance level of
298
99.6%. Thus, there has been an addition of 137Cs in Areas II and III. The average ratio
299
in Areas II and III reached about 1.7 in 2016.
300 301
3.2.2. Bottom waters. As shown in section 3.1.2, the activity concentrations of
302
137
303
the activity concentrations in samples from shallow sampling depths ( 400 m) were lower than those in the surface waters. In Area
306
II, bottom-water activity concentrations at all sites showed distributions and levels
307
similar to the corresponding surface water (Figure 2), except for station 3 at site SZ,
308
where the bottom sample was collected at 314 m and its activity concentration was
309
significantly higher than that of surface water in 2013. Kumamoto et al. (2014) have
310
shown that subtropical mode water has been playing an important role in the
311
southward transport of FDNPP-derived 134Cs19. The high 134Cs concentration in bottom
312
water would be due to intrusion of mode water to a depth of about 300 m, as evidenced
313
by its sigma-theta values of about 25.2, which is a typical density for mode water.
314
However, this was the only station with a relatively high 134Cs concentration in bottom
Cs in bottom water before the accident depended on the sampling depths. In Area I,
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water, so further evaluation is necessary.
316
In Area III, located in the Japan Sea, there was a temporal increase from 2011 to
317
2016 in 137Cs activity concentrations in bottom water collected at depths ≤ 220 m or at
318
temperatures ≥ 10 °C, which are the general properties of the water mass in the TWC20.
319
The activity concentrations in waters collected at greater depths (>220 m) before the
320
accident (2005–2010) ranged from 0.97 to 2.1 mBq/L with a mean of 1.6 mBq/L (n =
321
63) and after the accident (2011–2016) from 0.68 to 2.0 mBq/L with a mean of 1.4
322
mBq/L (n = 64). These two datasets, from before and after the accident, reveal that
323
FDNPP-derived
324
depths greater than 220 m.
137
Cs has not yet appeared in the bottom water of the Japan Sea at
325 326
3.2.3. Transport mechanism for FDNPP-derived 137Cs to the Japan Sea. The
327
increase in Csobs/Csbkgd ratios after the accident in Areas II and III means that these
328
areas received additional
329
FDNPP. A simple approach suggests two likely pathways for the additional
330
airborne transport, and migration with seawater via coastal currents around Japan (i.e.
331
migration of the contaminated water to Area III in the Japan Sea passing through sites
332
SZ, EH, KG, and SG of Area II). As mentioned in section 3.2.1., the transport of 137Cs
333
is much faster by air than by water, and yet there is no evidence of 137Cs deposition in
334
the Japan Sea immediately after the accident, so the former pathway can be ruled out.
335
Intuitively, it seems unlikely that the latter pathway affected the increase in Areas II
137
Cs after the accident, most likely originating from the 137
Cs:
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and III because the Kuroshio forms a southern boundary to Area I, limiting the further
337
southward transport of radiocesium because contaminated waters move eastward along
338
the Kuroshio18. At the same time,
339
reduced through mixing with Kuroshio water. Even though it is possible for 137Cs to be
340
directly advected from the accident location to southern areas, for example by hugging
341
the coast and moving past site SZ, this pathway was presumably negligible because the
342
137
343
2010 (Figure 2).
344
137
Cs activity concentrations in this water would be
Cs activity concentrations at this site in 2012 were the same as or lower than those in
It appears that the trend of increasing annual mean
137
Cs activity concentration
345
ratios during 2013–2016 was a common feature in the water column from 0 to 220 m
346
at the coastal sites in the Japan Sea (HK, NI, FKE, FKW, and SM). This feature might
347
result from oceanographic factors specific to the Japan Sea—specifically, a
348
surface-limited transport of the radionuclide by the TWC, which passes through the
349
Tsushima Strait.
350
The Kuroshio forms by a merger of water currents between 10°N and 35°N in the
351
North Pacific Ocean, and its circulation is clockwise21. Migration of FDNPP-derived
352
radiocesium into the Japan Sea might occur along two routes. The first is entrainment
353
of subsurface FDNPP-derived radiocesium into the surface waters of Area II through
354
vertical mixing21. The formation of mode waters below the surface leads to a
355
southward flow that crosses the Kuroshio, is quickly entrained back into the Kuroshio
356
farther upstream, and thus is returned to Area II and then to the west coast of Japan via
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the TWC, thereby raising the levels of FDNPP-derived radiocesium in Area III (Japan
358
Sea) after a relatively short time-lag. The second possible route would require that a
359
portion of the FDNPP-derived radiocesium was carried eastward with the Kuroshio
360
(flowing away from Japan), eventually being transported westward by the return flow
361
of the current13,18,19,21,22. This route would take far too long for the FDNPP-derived
362
radiocesium to show up on the west coast of Japan by 2013. However, waters with
363
FDNPP-derived radiocesium on this roundabout route might eventually appear in the
364
Japan Sea after several years. If so, this process would explain the continuous increase
365
in 137Cs in the Japan Sea, along with the increase from radiocesium following the first
366
route. Our results imply that radiocesium released from the FDNPP into the North
367
Pacific Ocean was transported not only eastward along with the surface currents but
368
also southward through the formation and subduction of mode water after the accident.
369 370
3.3. Flux of
137
Cs to the Japan Sea. The flux of
137
Cs to the Japan Sea via the
371
TWC was calculated using the annual average water flow rate into the sea through the
372
Tsushima Strait (2.5 × 106 m3/s)
373
concentrations in the surface and bottom waters at sites SG and KG in Area III. These
374
two sites were chosen because they are close to the Tsushima Strait entrance (Figure 1).
375
Thus, they can provide initial
376
flux to the Japan Sea.
377
137
23
and the annual average of
137
Cs activity
Cs activity concentrations for the calculation of
137
Cs
The annual observed 137Cs fluxes (Fluxobs) from 2010 to 2016 are listed in Table 2,
19 ACS Paragon Plus Environment
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Page 20 of 36
378
together with the background flux (Fluxbkgd) calculated using Csbkgd and the inflow
379
water volume of the TWC and the model fitted by Equation (1); this model is
380
applicable when there was no addition of 137Cs from any accident after 2010. In 2010,
381
Fluxobs was calculated as 1.3 × 1014 Bq/y, similar to Fluxbkgd (1.3 × 1014 Bq/y). In 2011,
382
immediately after the FDNPP accident, Fluxobs increased to 1.4 × 1014 Bq and then
383
decreased to 1.3 × 1014 Bq in 2012. After that, however, Fluxobs showed a temporally
384
increasing trend. In contrast, Fluxbkgd displayed a decline with time from 2010 (1.3 ×
385
1014 Bq) to 2016 (1.0 × 1014 Bq). The differences between Fluxobs and Fluxbkgd are
386
assumed to be the flux of the FDNPP-derived
387
increased from 0.2 × 1014 Bq/y to 0.7 × 1014 Bq/y from 2013 to 2016.
137
Cs (Fluxadd) (Table 2). Fluxadd
388 389
3.4. Inventory of 137Cs in the TWC in the Japan Sea. The inventory of 137Cs in 137
390
the TWC in the Japan Sea can be estimated by multiplying the concentration of
391
in seawater by the water volume. The water volume was estimated from the surface
392
area of the TWC and its thickness (220 m). Although the area of the Japan Sea covered
393
by the TWC ranges between 1.0 and 3.0 × 1011 m2 seasonally24, the surface area during
394
the sampling period (May–June) was about 2.0 × 1011 m2. Thus, the water volume was
395
calculated to be 4.4 × 1013 m3. The inventories of
396
before (2010) and after the accident (2011–2016) were then obtained by multiplying
397
the annual mean 137Cs concentrations in Area III (at depths ≤ 220 m) by the estimated
398
water volume (Table 2).
137
Cs
Cs in the TWC in the Japan Sea
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399
Before the FDNPP accident, the observed inventory of
137
Cs (Invobs) was calculated
400
to be 0.70 × 1014 Bq. In May–June 2011, two months after the accident, Invobs showed
401
a slight increase (0.88 × 1014 Bq), and fell back the following year to the same level as
402
before the accident. However, Invobs again started to increase and reached 0.97 × 1014
403
Bq in May–June 2016. The estimated background inventory of 137Cs (Invbkgd = Csbkgd ×
404
TWC water volume) was assumed to continue the decreasing trend from before the
405
accident. The value in 2016 was assumed to be 0.53 × 1014 Bq. As with the 137Cs flux,
406
the differences between Invobs and Invbkgd after the accident reflect the addition of
407
FDNPP-derived 137Cs. Thus, the 137Cs inventory derived from the accident (Invadd) was
408
calculated to be 0.22 × 1014 Bq in 2011. In the following year (2012), Invadd seemed to
409
fall to the same level as before the accident because of the dilution effect of seawater,
410
as in 1985–1987 before and after the Chernobyl NPP accident. However, after 2012,
411
Invadd increased linearly to 0.44 × 1014 Bq by 2016, meaning that the amount of
412
in the Japan Sea increased by 80% through the addition of FDNPP-derived
413
radioecologically minimal (a few mBq/L in activity concentration) yet statistically
414
significant value.
415
137
137
Cs
Cs; a
Invadd in 2011, 1–2 months after the FDNPP accident, could be due to air-borne 137
416
transport of FDNPP-derived
417
calculated to be approximately 0.1% of the total amount of
418
transported into the marine environment after the accident: 12–15 × 1015 Bq11. In
419
contrast, the continuous increase of Invadd after its decrease in 2012 is attributable to
Cs into the Japan Sea. Therefore, Invadd in 2011 was 137
Cs atmospherically
21 ACS Paragon Plus Environment
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420
horizontal transport from the North Pacific Ocean via the Tsushima Strait, which is
421
controlled mainly by the TWC. Invadd in 2016 (0.44 × 1014 Bq) was about 0.2% of the
422
total 137Cs flux (19–24 × 1015 Bq) from FDNPP to the ocean15.
423
When the mean residence time (Invobs/Fluxobs) was calculated to be 6.7 months
424
(range: 5.8–7.5 months) for 2013–2016, the Fluxobs in the surface water of the TWC in
425
the Japan Sea affect quickly the increase of Invobs of the Japan Sea. In addition, the
426
calculated residence time in this study is comparable to that for the TWC (a few
427
months)25. This short residence time might be due to the high flow rate of the TWC
428
(around 7 cm/s) in the Japan Sea26. In contrast, the residence time of
429
water (>220 m) before the FDNPP accident has been estimated at 144–192 y7. These
430
results indicate that most of the surface water with relatively high
431
concentrations rarely mixes with the deep water in the Japan Sea and exits the Japan
432
Sea to the Pacific Ocean and the Sea of Okhotsk through the Tsugaru and Soya straits
433
at the north end of the Japan Sea.
137
Cs in deep
137
Cs activity
434
435
■ ASSOCIATED CONTENT
436
Supporting Information
437
The Supporting Information is available free of charge on the ACS Publications
22 ACS Paragon Plus Environment
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438
website.
439
Supplementary Table (Table S2: EXCEL).
440
441
■ AUTHOR INFORMATION
442
Corresponding Author
443
*Phone: +81-470-68-5111; fax: +81-470-68-5115; e-mail:
[email protected].
444
Notes
445
The authors declare no competing financial interest.
446
23 ACS Paragon Plus Environment
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447
■ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
448
We are grateful for helpful comments on the manuscript from four anonymous
449
reviewers. We thank the staff of the Marine Ecology Research Institute (Chiba, Japan)
450
for helpful discussions and technical assistance. We also thank the Japan Chemical
451
Analysis Center for their analysis of radiocesium in seawater. The marine
452
environmental radioactivity survey is a research project contracted from the Japanese
453
Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (May 2011–March
454
2013) and the Secretariat of the Nuclear Regulation Authority (April 2013–present).
455
456
■REFERENCES
457
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Ichikawa, T.; Hidaka, K.; Hiroe, Y.; Kusaka, A.; Kodama, T.; Kuriyama, M.;
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555 556
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557
Figure captions
558
Figure 1. Study areas and sampling sites in coastal Japan. Sites in Area I (green
559
symbols):
560
Fukushima-1), Fukushima-daini (FSS, Fukushima-2), and Ibaraki (IB). Area
561
II (yellow symbols): Shizuoka (SZ), Ehime (EH), Saga (SG), and Kagoshima
562
(KG). Area III (blue symbols): Hokkaido (HK), Niigata (NI), Ishikawa (IS),
563
Fukui-daiichi (FKE, Fukui-1), Fukui-daini (FKW, Fukui-2), and Shimane
564
(SM). Black circles indicate nuclear power plants. Red circle indicates
565
Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP).
566
Figure 2.
137
Aomori
(HG),
Miyagi
(MI),
Fukushima-daiichi
(FSN,
Cs activity concentrations in surface seawater at all sites. Vertical dashed
567
lines represent the boundary between before (1983–2010) and after (2011–
568
2016) the FDNPP accident.
569
Figure 3. Activity ratios between observed
137
Cs (Csobs) and estimated background
570
137
571
the boundary between before (1983–2010) and after (2011–2016) the FDNPP
572
accident. Dashed red lines indicate the threshold value for outliers. Note the
573
logarithmic y-axis scale for Area I. The values for the red lines at each site
574
were obtained as follows: We calculated the ratios between the measured
575
137
576
outliers was calculated as three times the standard deviation of these ratios.
577
The values associated with the red lines are listed in Table S3.
Cs (Csbkgd) in surface seawater at all sites. Vertical dashed lines represent
Cs concentrations and those estimated using Equation (1). The threshold for
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578
Table 1 Effective half-lives of 137Cs (years) in surface and bottom waters. Bottom water
Surface water Site
Effective half-life (y)
Correlation coefficient (r)
Effective half-life (y)
Correlation coefficient (r)
—
—
—
—
MI
16.0
0.94
14.3
0.93
Fukushima Dai-ichi and Dai-ni (FSN+FSS)
15.6
0.95
14.8
0.95
Ibaraki
15.8
0.94
15.2
0.94
Aomori (HG)a
Area I
(IB)
Mean ± SD
Area II
15.8 ± 0.2
Shizuoka (SZ)
18.1
0.95
16.4
0.65
Ehime (EH)
17.0
0.90
15.8
0.95
Saga (SG)
17.1
0.96
15.1
0.95
Kagoshima (KG)
18.4
0.94
16.1
0.95
Mean ± SD
Area III
17.6 ± 0.7 15.6
0.96
22.2
0.86
Niigata (NI)
16.2
0.95
23.4
0.72
Ishikawa (IS)
15.6
0.95
16.1
0.93
Fukui Dai-ichi and Daini (FKW+FKE)
17.1
0.96
17.6
0.82
Shimane (SM)
17.0
0.96
16.7
0.94
16.3± 0.7 All sites
a
15.8 ± 0.6
Hokkaido (HK)
Mean ± SD
579
14.8 ± 0.5
16.6
19.2 ± 3.4 0.99
15.3
0.80
Half-lives not calculated because of the scarcity of data from before the FDNPP accident.
31 ACS Paragon Plus Environment
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580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588
Table 2 Annual observed 137Cs fluxes (Fluxobs) into the Japan Sea via the Tsushima Warm Current (TWC) using 137Cs data for surface and bottom waters at sites SG and KG in Area III, background 137Cs fluxes estimated by the equation (1) (Fluxbkgd), net fluxes of FDNPP-derived 137Cs (Fluxadd = Fluxobs – Fluxbkgd), annual observed 137Cs inventories (Invobs), background 137Cs inventories estimated by the fitted model (Invbkgd), and the Fukushima-derived 137 Cs inventories of the TWC in the Japan Sea (Invadd = Invobs – Invbkgd) from 2010 to 2016. Flux (×1014 Bq/y)
Sampling year
589 590 591
Page 32 of 36
Inventory (×1014 Bq)
Fluxobs
Fluxbkgd
Fluxadd
Invobs
Invbkgd
Invadd
2010
1.3
1.3
—a
0.70
0.70
—
2011*
1.4
1.3
0.1
0.88
0.66
0.22
2012
1.3
1.2
0.1
0.75
0.66
0.09
2013
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.84
0.62
0.22
2014
1.7
1.1
0.6
0.88
0.62
0.26
2015
1.9
1.1
0.8
0.92
0.57
0.35
2016
1.7
1.0
0.7
0.97
0.53
0.44
*Data for 137Cs activity concentration in surface seawater at station 1 at each site were used for the calculations. For more detail, see Table S4 in the Supporting Information. a —, Calculated values became negative.
592 593 594
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45˚ Hokkai do
Aomori
40˚
Japan Sea
Miyagi
Ishikawa
35˚
Ehime
Fukushima-1 Fukushima-2 Ibaraki
Fukui-1 Fukui-2
Shimane Saga
Niigata
Shizuoka
Kagoshima
30˚
595
25˚ 120˚
125˚
130˚
135˚
140˚
145˚
150˚
596 597 598 599
Fig 1
600
33 ACS Paragon Plus Environment
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10
Sampling depth (m) 1.0 0.5 10
HK
1.0 0.5 10
NI
0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 ≧200
134
Cs 137 Cs 134+137
1.0 0.5 10
Cs
IS
1.0 0.5 10
HK
FKE+FKW
HG
1.0 SM 0.5 0 5 198 198
10 0 199
5 199
5 200
0 200
Year
MI
5 201 NI IS FKE+FKW 0 201
FSN FSS IB
EH KG
10
Radio Cs (mBq/L)
0.5 10
SZ
Radio Cs (mBq/L)
SZ
SG
1.0
HG
0.1 100
SM
1.0
100
10 1.0 0.1 1000
MI
100 10 1.0
FSN+FSS
0.1 1000 100 1.0 0.5 10
10
EH 1.0
IB
0.1 80 19
1.0 0.5 10
1.0
85 19
90 19
95 19
00 20
05 20
10 20
5 201
Year
SG
KG
0.5
5 0 5 0 5 0 5 0 198 198 199 199 200 200 201 201
Year
601
Fig 2
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3 2
HK
Activity ratio(Csobs /Csbkgd)
1 0 3 2
NI
1 0 3 2
IS
1 0 3 2
FKE+FKW
HK
1 0 3 2
100
1 0 19
80
HG
SM
10
MI
1
MI 19
85
19
90
19
95
00 00 5 01 0 01 5 2 2 2 20 IS Year FKE+FKW
FSN FSS
NI IB
SM
0.1 1000 100 10
SZ
SG
FSN+FSS
1 0.1 100
EH KG
Activity ratio(Csobs /Cs bkgd)
3 2
1
SZ
0.1 80
1
19
0 3 2
IB
10
4
85 990 995 000 005 010 015 19 1 1 2 2 2 2 Year
EH
1 0 3 2
SG
1 0 3 2
KG
1 0 80 985 990 995 000 005 010 015 020 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 19 Year
602 603
Fig. 3
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604
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