C&EN CHARTS - C&EN Global Enterprise (ACS Publications)

In the wake of sharply higher earnings (C&EN, April 30, page 23), most chemical industry executives are optimistic, although cautiously so. Union Carb...
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C&EN CHARTS The stock market seems to be saying one thing, businessmen another about the outlook for the chemical industry — a n d for business in general. In the wake of sharply higher earnings (C&EN, April 3 0 , page 2 3 ) , most chemical industry executives are optimistic, although cautiously so. Union Carbide president Morse G. Dial, for example, thinks that if the economy continues to improve, Carbide's earnings should rise at a somewhat greater rate than the economy itself. And Stauffer chairman Christian de Guigne looks for a "satisfactory profit recovery for the full year 1 9 6 2 . " Allied

DIVIDEND YIELD Chemicals

PRICE-EARNINGS RATIO Chemicals

4.0

35

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NEW Y O R K *

^NEW JERSEY

Coafc CHEMICAL COMPANY Cleveland 20, Ohio MAY

7,

30 1961

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C&EN

Percent

3.5

2.0

I I I I I I I I I I I I D J F M A M J J A S O N D

(Anhydrous Sodium Orthosilicate)

38

Chemical, which is not counting on significantly higher profits this year, does expect "substantially i m p r o v e d " earnings in 1 9 6 3 . Despite this confidence, chemical stocks have stumbled, falling about 1 0 % in less than two months to the lowest level since the beginning of 1961. Since mid-March, more than $3 billion has been clipped from the market value of chemical industry shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The combination of higher earnings and lower stock prices makes chemical shares look less expensive. Price-

1962

15

I I I I I I I I I I I I I D J F M A M J J A S O N D

CASH DIVIDENDS-Chemical Industry Billions of Dollars 1.2

THROUGH MARCH TOTAL

Source: Dept. of Commerce

This Week In Business earnings ratios are at the lowest level since the end of 1960; dividend yield is the highest in 18 months. Nevertheless, investors obviously are worried about business trends—about the over-all outlook for the economy

and about the impact of government actions on industry profits, for example. And they are concerned, too, about the effects of sharp competition, continuing excess capacity, and depressed prices on chemical com-

MAY

7,

1962

panies' results. They are looking beyond the bright current results—industry sales of $ 2 . 8 8 billion in March were higher than those of any previous month by 5 % — t o the less clear prospect for later this year.

C A E N INDEX OF STOCK PRICES CHEMICALS

January 1954 Opening Prices=100

DRUGS

550

550

500

500

435.2

400

400 APR. 27

300

300 SEC COMPOSITE: INDEX

200

246.5

200

150

3rd Qtr. 1961

150 1st Qtr. 1962

4th Qtr.

3rd Qtr. 1961

2nd Qtr.

PETROLEUM

RUBBER

550

550

500

500

1st Qtr. 1962

4th Qtr.

2nd Qtr.

383.1 400

400

APR.27

!

APR. 27 300

300 SEC COMPOSITE INDEX

260.1

,

. SEC COMPOSITE INDEX

^

246.5

246.5. 200

200

150

3rd Qtr. 1961

4th Qtr.

1st Qtr. 1962

150 2nd Qtr.

3rd Qtr. 1961

4th Qtr.

1st Qtr. 1962

MAY

7, 1 9 6 2

2nd Qtr.

C&EN

39