Conversion of Distiller's Grains to Renewable Fuels and High Value

Aug 5, 2019 - Conversion of Distiller's Grains to Renewable Fuels and High Value Protein: Integrated Techno-Economic and Life Cycle Assessment ...
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Energy and the Environment

Conversion of distiller’s grains to renewable fuels and high value protein: Integrated techno-economic and life cycle assessment Katherine DeRose, Fang Liu, Ryan W Davis, Blake A. Simmons, and Jason Quinn Environ. Sci. Technol., Just Accepted Manuscript • DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.9b03273 • Publication Date (Web): 05 Aug 2019 Downloaded from pubs.acs.org on August 8, 2019

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Conversion of distiller’s grains to renewable fuels and high value protein: Integrated

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techno-economic and life cycle assessment

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Authors: Katherine DeRose*1, Fang Liu2, Ryan W. Davis2, Blake A. Simmons3, Jason C. Quinn1

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1Mechanical

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2 Biomass

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United States

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3Joint

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CA, 94720, United States

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*Corresponding Author: Katherine DeRose

Engineering, Colorado State University Fort Collins, CO, 80523, United States

Science and Conversion Technologies, Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, CA, 94550,

BioEnergy Institute, Deconstruction Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Emeryville,

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Email: [email protected]

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Abstract:

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Distiller’s grains are a by-product of corn ethanol production and provide an opportunity for increasing

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the economic viability and sustainability of the overall grain to fuels process. Typically, these grains are

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dried and sold as a ruminant feed adjunct. This study considers utilization of the residuals in a novel

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supplementary fermentation process to produce two products, enriched protein and fusel alcohols. The

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value-add proposition and environmental impact of this second fermentation step for distiller’s grains

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are evaluated by considering three different processing scenarios. Techno-economic results show the

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minimum protein selling price, assuming fusel alcohol products are valued at $0.79 per liter gasoline

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equivalent, ranges between $1.65-$2.48 kg protein-1 for the different cases. Environmental impacts of

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the system were evaluated through life cycle assessment. Results show a baseline emission results of 17

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g CO2-eq (MJ fuel)-1 for the fuel’s product and 10.3 kg CO2-eq kg protein-1 for the protein product.

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Sensitivity to allocation methods show a dramatic impact with results ranging between -8 to 139 g CO2-eq

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(MJ fuel)-1 for the fuels product and -0.3 to 6.4 kg CO2-eq kg protein-1 for the protein product. Discussion

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focuses on the potential impact of the technology on corn ethanol production economics and

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sustainability.

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1. Introduction

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The United States’ corn ethanol industry is full of controversy 1–3. To its advantage, corn ethanol

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represents a mature technology with a long production history as a first-generation alternative biofuel

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and provides a means for domestic bio-based fuel production 4,5. However, this process has been widely

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criticized for its role in the food versus fuel debate and for continuing to have high production costs that

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are yet to be competitive with conventional fuels largely due to feed stock costs 1,4,6–9. Despite these

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issues, the corn ethanol industry has experienced significant growth and the associated infrastructure

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has an expected lifetime of multiple decades 4. Therefore, it is imperative to continue to improve both

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the economics and sustainability of this process 5,10. One strategy for achieving these goals is to focus on

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increased utilization of corn ethanol’s largest co-product, distiller’s grains with solubles (DGS). DGS

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consists of the remaining biomass after fermentation and includes fibers, proteins, ash, and

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unfermented sugars 11 which are typically sold as a protein source for ruminants

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proposed a novel second fermentation process to upgrade DGS that resulting in increased fuel yield and

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protein value in an effort to improve ethanol biorefinery economics and sustainability.

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11–15.

Researchers have

Researchers at Sandia National Laboratories have engineered a consortium of E. coli-based

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biocatalyst strains that have been proven to ferment the hydrolyzed sugars and specific amino acids

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available in the DGS into energy products predominantly composed of a mixture of C4 and C5 alcohols,

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hereafter referred to as fusel alcohols 12. Additionally, Lui et al. 12 have verified that the fermentation

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strains preferentially consume high abundance, low value amino acids, producing a protein product that

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has been enriched with higher value amino acids including valine, proline, alanine, glycine, methionine,

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cysteine, histidine, and hydroxyproline. While overall protein mass will decrease due to this second

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fermentation process, it is proposed that the sale of additional fuels and increased value of the

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upgraded protein product will offset the cost of additional processing with the inherent benefit of

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increasing overall fuel yields from the starting grain.

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The purpose of this study is to evaluate the upgrade conversion of DGS to protein and fuel

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value-add proposition for corn ethanol producers using engineering process modeling coupled with

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techno-economic analysis (TEA) and life cycle assessment (LCA). This type of analysis allows researchers

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and stakeholders to evaluate the economic potential and environmental impact of this technology while

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it is still in development based on results from experimental work. This work focuses on identifying the

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optimal processing pathway by evaluating three different process scenarios. Modularity in foundational

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engineering process modeling enables a direct comparison of the proposed processes on a consistent

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system boundary. Results from these scenarios were used to evaluate the economic viability and

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environmental sustainability of the proposed upgrading facility with recommendations for future

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research and commercial deployment presented.

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2. Methods

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A modular engineering process model for the conversion of DGS into fusel alcohols including

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protein recovery was created and used to capture mass and energy balances for three different

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production pathways, described below. These balances were used as the foundational inputs for the TEA

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and LCA studies to evaluate different processing options and evaluate the value-add proposition for

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ethanol producers.

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Within the engineering process model, two different processing options for both alcohol

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recovery (solvent or distillation recovery) and protein recovery (protein concentration and drying to

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create a high protein content (HPC) product and simple drying to create a low protein content (LPC)

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product) were considered. From these processing options, three different pathways were identified; a

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Base Case using solvent extraction and HPC production, a Distillation Case using distillation and HPC

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production, a LPC Case using solvent extraction and LPC production. A process flow diagram of these

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processing options is shown in Figure 1. The system boundary included the purchasing of DGS from a co-

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located corn ethanol facility, processing into ethanol and protein product and distribution of products.

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Figure 1: Block flow diagram for the DGS upgrading facility. There are two alcohol recovery options including distillation or solvent extraction; and two protein recovery options including ultrafiltration followed by drying and drying.

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2.1 Process Model

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The process model was constructed in a modular fashion with sub-process models constructed

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such that different technology pathways could be evaluated while maintaining a consistent system

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boundary. The process model was split into two main processes; fermentation and protein recovery. The

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performance of the fermentation process models was validated based on laboratory scale experimental

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data provided by Lui et al.

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based on the whey protein concentrate production process as described in literature 16,17. A complete

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list of inputs and outputs for the model can be found in the Supplemental Information.

12,

and was modeled in ASPEN Plus. The protein recovery process model was

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The model assumes the new upgrade facility will be co-located with a corn ethanol facility to

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reduce costs and eliminate the need for drying, packaging and transporting of the DGS. The bio-refinery

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was sized to utilize all DGS produced by a 454 M liter per year corn ethanol plant, the most common

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corn ethanol facility size currently operated in Iowa, USA 18. Using a conversion of 0.71 kg of DGS per L of

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ethanol, the DGS feed rate was set to 40,909 kg hr-1 of DGS solids 19.

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The price of DGS was set at $60 per tonne, based on current commodities markets for wet DGS

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20.

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reported to be 29% protein, 8% fat, 9.5% insoluble fiber, 4.5% ash and 49% carbohydrates on a dry mass

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basis, which is consistent with other results reported in literature 11.

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2.1.1 Pretreatment

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Biomass composition was provided by Sandia National Laboratories and validated by NJFL, Inc;

Prior to fermentation, the DGS are treated with a dilute acid to solubilize and hydrolyze the

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carbohydrates and proteins. The pH is adjusted to 6 using lime (CaO) after pretreatment. Experimental

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work shows total solubility of the carbohydrates, proteins and lipids to be 90% ± 10%, 70 ± 10% and 100

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± 10% [g soluble after pretreatment per g total].

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A subsequent enzymatic proteolysis pretreatment step was employed to hydrolyze any

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remaining non-hydrolyzed proteins, proteolipids, or N-glycans. DGS are treated with a cell-free extract

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of Streptomyces gresius (Pronase ®) at a ratio of 1 gram per liter of total slurry. The enzyme was not

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produced onsite and was assumed to be purchase for $1.05 kg-1. Experimental works shows the

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resulting protein solubility increased to 90 ± 10% [g soluble after pretreatment per g total protein].

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Products from pretreatment were assumed to be solubilized carbohydrates, proteins and lipids,

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water and gypsum (CaSO4∙2H2O). The DGS ash and any unrecovered gypsum were assumed to be inert

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masses flowing through the system with no adverse effects on process equipment or yield. These

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assumptions would need to be verified with further experimentation.

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2.1.2 Fermentation

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The fermentation process modeled was based on experimental work done by Liu et al 12. This

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process uses an E. coli consortium to ferment hydrolyzed C5 and C6 carbohydrates and a subset of the

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amino acids into fusel alcohols. Results from experimentation show a utilization of 31% and 95% of the

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total solubilized proteins and carbohydrates, respectively. Fusel alcohol yields from fermentation were

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40 g of fusel alcohols per 100 g of hydrolyzed carbohydrates and amino acids, yielding a total conversion

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rate of 24 g of fusel alcohols per 100 g of total DGS 12.

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For modeling purposes, fermentation products were limited to fusel alcohols, carbon dioxide

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(CO2), hydrogen sulfide (H2S), ammonia (NH3), and water (H2O). To predict fermentation product yields,

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fusel alcohol yields were set using experimental data with all other yields predicted using an elemental

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mass balance. Hydrogen sulfide and ammonia yields were based on total liberated sulfur and nitrogen,

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respectively, while carbon dioxide and water yields were based on remaining carbon and hydrogen

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balances, respectively. Struvite (NH4MgPO4∙6H2O) was also shown to be a product of this fermentation

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process 12. The hypothesized mechanism for struvite production is magnesium in the ash reacts with

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liberated nitrogen, phosphorous and water. The struvite was assumed to be recovered in a settling tank

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and sold as an additional co-product. The proposed model assumes these yields can be maintained at

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scale; this assumption is reasonable as fermentation represents a mature technology in terms of

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commercial deployment.

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2.1.3 Alcohol Recovery

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The purpose of the alcohol recovery step is to separate the fusel alcohols from the water and

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remaining biomass. Modularity in the engineering process model supported the evaluation of two

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different alcohol recovery processes; solvent and distillation extraction.

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Solvent extraction was employed by experimenters from Sandia National laboratories, who

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provided inputs and verification for this method. For this process, the fermentation liquor is fed to the

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bottom of a ten-stage extraction column. Solvent, ethyl acetate, is added at the top at a ratio of 1:5

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volume of solvent to volume of fermentation liquor. Product recovery was set at 97% of total alcohols.

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After solvent extraction, the fusel alcohols and solvent were sent to a distillation column to recover the

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solvent. Alcohol recovery from this distillation column was set at 99.5% of total alcohols. The system is

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assumed to have a 5% solvent loss, as validated from experimental results and is typical of solvent

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extraction systems 21.

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As distillation is currently used for ethanol recovery in corn ethanol refineries, this method was

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also investigated as it represents a robust technology for alcohol recovery. Low boiling alcohol recovery

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was set to 99.5% recovery by mass in the distillate. Some of the fusel alcohols have boiling points higher

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than water and were assumed to be lost in the column bottoms, as recovery was found to be

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uneconomical. The distillate from the first column was sent to a second rectification distillation column.

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Alcohol recovery was set at 99% by mass. Distillate from the rectification column was then sent to a

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molecular sieve dryer for polishing for a final mass purity of 99.5% by mass [kg alcohols per kg total

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mass-1].

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2.1.4 Protein Recovery

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The remaining biomass after alcohol recovery is sent to a protein processing step to recover the

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protein product. Two different protein recovery strategies were investigated to produce two different

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products; a concentrated protein product, HPC and a low protein product, LPC. Both of these processes

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were based on commercial whey protein recovery processes 16,17.

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For the HPC product, the insoluble fibers and fats were removed using a centrifuge. Proteins were then concentrated using ultrafiltration with diafiltration. Concentration of the solids in the

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ultrafiltration unit was set to 25%, a common target used in the whey industry 16. Sugars and some of

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the ash were removed by diafiltration washing 16. Operational costs for the ultrafiltration unit were

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estimated using information from the San Jose Water Company report on Microfiltration Operating

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Costs and design information from work performed by Hurst et al. 17,22. After concentrating the

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proteins, the product was then dried in a spray dryer to reduce water concentration to 4 wt%. Product

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loss after drying was set at 20% of the total solids 17. The spray drier pricing was based on cost curves

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from work compiled by Hardy 23. To produce the LPC product, the solids from alcohol recovery were

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centrifuged and dried in a spray dryer to produce a product with 4 wt% water.

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2.2 Techno-Economic Analysis

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The mass and energy outputs from the engineering process models were used as the basis for

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the economic modeling. Capital costs were estimated based on quotes for similar equipment provided

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in literature and ASPEN modeling 24. Operational costs were estimated based on the energy and mass

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requirements of the systems.

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For this analysis, the system boundary was drawn around the DGS upgrade facility. This required

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the facility to have its own independent utilities equipment, storage, home office, laboratories and

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management staff assuming the facility would receive no utilities from the co-located ethanol refinery.

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All capital equipment was assumed to be purchased new, instead of repurposed or retrofitted. Drawing

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the system boundary in this way allowed for a conservative and clear examination of the costs and

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benefits accompanying the integration of the upgrade process with existing facilities.

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An additional Integrated scenario was also considered in the TEA. This scenario modified the

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Base Case scenario and assumes some equipment, infrastructure and personnel are shared between the

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new facility and existing ethanol facility. More detailed information for the inputs for this scenario is

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available in the Supplemental Information.

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The TEA uses a discounted cash flow-rate of return (DCFROR) model to estimate the minimum

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protein selling price (MPSP) required for one kg of upgraded protein product 25. The MPSP was

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calculated as the price required per kg of protein product to achieve a net present value of zero in the

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DCFROR model. The DCFROR model used N-th plant assumptions, as outlined by the Department of

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Energy’s Bioenergy Technologies Office 21,24,25. A list of all N-th plant assumptions can be found in the

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Supplemental Information.

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Co-products sold from the upgrade facility include the fusel alcohol energy products and

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struvite. The selling price for the energy products was set at $0.79 per liter of gasoline equivalent (LGE)-

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1,

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the amount of fuel required to provide as much energy as a liter of traditional petroleum-based

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gasoline; 31.7 MJ. The struvite co-product selling price was set at $455 tonne-1 27,28.

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2.3 Life Cycle Analysis

the target price for energy products set by the Department of Energy (DOE) 26. An LGE is defined as

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LCA is used to determine the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions using a 100-year global warming

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potential (GWP) associated with the production of different products; the protein products and energy

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products (fusel alcohols or ethanol and fusel alcohols). The LCA was originally conducted according to

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ISO 14040 standards by considering an expanded system boundary including the agriculture and ethanol

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refining and using a displacement method for the co-products. However, this approach to LCA may not

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always be possible or practical if the upstream processes are not as well known or as well defined as

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corn-ethanol production, leading LCA practioners to employ an allocation method to determine

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emissions for the co-product now being used as a feedstock. The system being studied here allows for a

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case study to investigate how different LCA methodologies can affect LCA results when using a

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bioenergy waste stream as feedstock for another process and considering a contracted system boundary

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around the new process. The benefit of the contracted boundary allows for more focus to be placed on

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the process under investigation, which is especially important for process optimization and hot spot

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analysis. When approaching LCA this way, there are two main complications for this specific study; the

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first is determining the emissions associated with the DGS production and the second assigning

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emissions to the upgraded products as an equal mass of each are produced.

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Quantifying the emissions associated with the DGS production required assigning some burden

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of the upstream ethanol production emissions to the DGS. In a standard ethanol LCA, a displacement

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method is used which does not allow for quantifying the emissions associated with DGS. Reversing this

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methodology and using a displacement method with DGS as the primary product represents a

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misguided attempt to determine the emissions that should be allocated to this product stream. To

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address this issue, this work allocates the ethanol facility and agriculture emissions to the DGS through

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either an energy or market allocation method; a complete description of the energy and market

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allocation methods is available in the Supplemental Information. Total emissions rate for ethanol

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production and agriculture were estimated through values found in literature. The reported range was

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1734 - 2134 g CO2-eq (L ethanol)-1 with an average value of 1974 g CO2-eq (L ethanol)-1 used in this study

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15,29–32.

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The total emissions for the upgrade facility modeled in this study were calculated using the mass

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and energy balances from the engineering process model. Estimates for the emissions associated with

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energy production and manufacture of chemicals were taken from GREET 32. To calculate the total GWP

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for each component three different GHG’s were examined (CO2, CH4 and N2O) and combined into a CO2-

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equivalance (CO2-eq)based on their 100-year global warming potential (1, 25, 298 [g CO2-eq (g GHG)-1],

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respectively) and summed to provide a total life cycle inventory (LCI) emissions 33. These LCI’s were then

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multiplied by the upgrade facility’s total consumption to find the total estimated emissions. A list of the

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LCI’s used in the analysis can be found in the Supplemental Information.

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The second complication in this LCA is associated with determining which LCA co-product

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methodology is appropriate to distribute the upgrade facility emissions between the two main products;

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displacement, energy allocation and market allocation. In total, six different life cycle scenarios were

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performed for the contracted system boundary by using displacement, energy and market allocation for

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two different DGS emissions scenarios, energy and market.

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To employ the ISO 14044 standard displacement method requires LCA results to be generated

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assuming the system is first a protein production facility and then again assuming the system is a fuel

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production system, with displacement credits calculated for the complementary product. For both

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cases, struvite was assumed to displace diammonium phosphate (DAP) on a per kg of phosphorous

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basis. The products also received a carbon credit based on the embodied carbon as the system modeled

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has a well to pump system boundary with embodied carbon originating from the atmosphere. A

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complete summary of the displacement method used in this analysis is available in the Supplemental

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Information.

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In addition to the displacement method, other life cycle co-product methodologies were

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considered; specifically, market and energy allocation methods. For this analysis, all emissions from the

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upgrade facility and embodied carbon credits were assigned to a product through either an energy or

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market allocation, as used to determine DGS associated emissions. The results from the different LCA

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methodology scenarios were then compared to illustrate the impact of methodology on LCA results. The

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emissions results were also compared to production emissions of traditional products.

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2.4 Sensitivity Analysis

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A sensitivity analysis was performed to identify high impact areas for further research focused

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on reducing cost and emissions. For this analysis model inputs were varied ± 20% and the resulting

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MPSP and overall GHG emissions were recorded. The results were then used in a Student’s t-test to

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determine the t-ratio value for the varied variable, with t-ratios falling outside the two-tail 95%

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confidence interval indicating high impact areas.

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3. Results and Discussion

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Economic results were used to identify the optimal processing pathway and recognize significant

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cost contributors. LCA results were used to determine if the energy and protein products represented

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more sustainable products than conventional alternatives and highlight the effects of different life cycle

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co-product methodologies.

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3.1 Techno-Economic Analysis

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The TEA results for the different cases are shown in Figure 2 with results broken out for the

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individual cost components and summed into three main cost categories; capital expenditure (CAPEX),

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operational costs (OPEX) and taxes. The MPSP for the Base Case was found to be $1.91 kg protein-1,

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$1.94 kg protein-1 for the Distillation case, $2.48 kg protein-1 for the LPC case and $1.65 kg protein-1 for

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the Integrated scenario. Markets show protein selling prices between $0.35 - $2.11 kg-1, dependent on

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protein quality and market opportunity (animal feed, human consumption, etc.). A list of proteins

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including quality and selling price is located in the Supplemental Information. Initial analysis indicates

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this process may be feasible if the protein product could be used as aquaculture.

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Figure 2: Breakdown of the major economic contributors as a fraction of the MPSP for the three processing pathways and Integrated scenario modeled using “N-th of a kind” assumptions. CAPEX and OPEX were further broken down into their major constituents.

The largest cost contributor for the Base Case was the operational costs, accounting for 74% of

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the total MPSP. The greatest cost was from procurement of the feedstock, accounting for 46% of the

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total annual OPEX and 35% of the total MPSP. A similar trend was seen in the Distillation and LPC cases,

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with the feedstock accounting for 46% or 42% of the total annual OPEX and 33% or 28% of the total

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MPSP, for each case respectively. This mimics trends seen in biorefinery TEA’s in general; where the

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feedstock represents the largest cost burden. In traditional ethanol processes, feedstock costs have

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been shown to represent over 70% of the total MFSP for corn based ethanol, soybean based biodiesel,

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and sugarcane based ethanol 34. One advantage of this upgrade system is the feedstock is a waste

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stream instead of virgin crop, allowing for reduced procurement costs and increased utilization of the

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original feedstock.

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TEA indicates the Base Case to be the most economically favorable option as it reduces capital

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and operational cost while maximizing alcohol recovery by employing the optimal alcohol and protein

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recovery strategies with the added benefit of potential opportunities for process improvement. While

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distillation is a proven technology for ethanol production systems, the presence of high boilers and

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higher water content in alcohol-water azeotropic mixtures leads to much higher energy requirements

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making this strategy less desirable for this application. Alcohol recovery is maximized through solvent

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extraction, as high boilers are not lost leading to higher fuel yields, 78.4 M LGE year-1 for the Base Case

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which employs solvent recovery compared to 76.5 M LGE year-1 for the Distillation Case. There is also an

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opportunity for process improvement by increasing solvent recovery efficiency to reduce make up

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solvent costs. The optimal solvent recovery rate was found to be 98.5%, which reduces MPSP by 12% to

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$1.69 kg protein-1. In addition, solvent extraction reduces the extent of residual alcohols in the protein

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product. This added benefit was not directly quantifiable in this work but must be considered

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holistically. These considerations lead to solvent extraction being the optimal choice for alcohol

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recovery in terms of economic viability.

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The Integrated Scenario, which is based on the Base Case and assumes synergistic relations with

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the co-located ethanol plant, shows a reduction in MPSP as expected. By considering this integration

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with the existing facility, the MPSP is reduced to $1.65 kg protein-1. Significant savings are seen by

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reducing protein recovery costs by utilizing existing drying and utilities equipment. These savings also

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led to reduced indirect capital costs, which are calculated as a percentage of total capital costs. Similar

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optimization of the solvent system further reduces the MPSP to $1.42 kg protein-1. This scenario shows

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a more optimistic outlook for the process if these assumptions can be realized.

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The TEA also shows the HPC pathway is more economical than the LPC pathway for protein

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recovery, with the MPSP for the Base Case being 77% lower than the LPC pathway. While the HPC

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contains more pieces of processing equipment, e.g. protein concentration equipment, one of the

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benefits of this step is bulk water removal. By not removing the water prior to drying in the LPC

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pathway, the dryers had to be sized to evaporate 4.7 times higher volumes of water, or 28,725 kg hr-1

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for the Base Case compared to 135,127 kg hr-1 for the LPC pathway. This difference in evaporation

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requirements causes a significant disparity between the two processing pathways with the CAPEX for

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the LPC pathway 51% higher and the OPEX 9% more than the Base Case. Increased water to the driers

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also increased the heat energy requirement for this step, which more than offsets any potential labor or

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electricity energy savings that may have been realized by making the process less complicated. These

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results indicate that a bulk water removal stage may be required for the LPC to reduce the CAPEX and

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OPEX; or indicates the requirement to integrate with the existing ethanol facilities’ drying equipment to

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negate this cost as shown in the Integrated Scenario.

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3.2 Life Cycle Analysis

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LCA was completed to estimate emissions associated with the production of the HPC protein

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product and fusel alcohols. The Baseline results for the expanded system boundary for the protein and

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fuels-based pathways are 10 kg CO2-eq kg protein-1 and 17 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1, respectively. When

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considering the contracted system boundary around the upgrade facility, six different cases were

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identified for each product, with protein related emissions ranging between -0.3 and 6.4 kg CO2-eq kg

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protein-1, while fuel production related emissions ranged between -8 and 139 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1. The

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breakdown of the associated emissions for the different products, protein and fusel alcohol, for the six

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cases using the different co-product LCA methods are shown in Figure 3A and 3B, respectively.

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A)

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B)

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Figure 3 A) Protein-related emissions per kg protein produced and B) fuels-related emissions per MJ fuel, as calculated using different LCA methodologies; displacement, market allocation and energy allocation. Emissions associated with the production of the DGS feedstock were calculated using either energy or market allocation methods. The results presented are based on the Base Case.

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The largest impact on emissions is associated with DGS production, especially when considering

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the variance associated with the different allocation methods, market or energy. When using the energy

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allocation method, the DGS production accounts for more emissions than the entire upgrading facility.

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This highlights how intensive upstream processing is and reinforces the importance of LCA methodology

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when considering a complex supply chain.

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Apart from emissions from DGS production, consumable materials is the largest emissions’

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contributor, accounting for 47% of the upgrade emissions. Increasing the solvent recovery rate from

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95% to 96% reduces solvent related emissions by 20% but increased heating emissions by 0.5%. Overall,

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upgrade emissions are reduced by 3%. At the economic optimum solvent recovery rate of 98.5%

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upgrading related emissions are reduced by 22% to 157 Gg CO2-eq year-1.

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Carbon credits have a significant impact on the LCA, and some strategies for improving the LCA

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include increasing these carbon credits through either; decreasing carbon loss or employing carbon

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capture and storage. During the fermentation processes, approximately 20% of the carbon in the

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biomass is lost as CO2 which could be reduced through improved carbon utilization. Another 26% is lost

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during protein recovery and could be reduced through process improvements. An alternative and

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complementary strategy is carbon capture and storage for the CO2 rich fermentation head gasses.

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These strategies could be explored to reduce emissions through increased carbon credits.

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3.2.1 Effects of LCA Co-product Methodology

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Two different system boundaries were considered; an expanded system boundary including all

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upstream processes and a contracted system boundary around the upgrade facility. For the contracted

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boundary, three different LCA co-product allocation methods were used to determine the emissions

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related to each product, protein or fuels. Sensitivity to LCA methodology is explored by investigating the

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effects the of system boundary and methodology strategy on product emissions. Here we discuss the

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results of each analysis and compare results across scenarios.

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As seen in Figure 3, the LCA results were sensitive to system boundary, especially the protein

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product. In the expanded boundary scenario, all emissions are assigned to the protein product, even

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though the production of protein is the not the impetus for the ethanol production facility. This

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indicates that the expanded system boundary is not appropriate for considering protein production

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related emissions; and therefore, care must be taken by LCA practioners when considering scope and

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system boundary. For the fuels related pathway, this expanded system boundary was more applicable,

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as the intent of all processing steps, agriculture through fusel alcohol production, revolve around their

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production. In this analysis, we see some increased emissions over the ethanol-alone process, due to

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increased processing, with results of 8 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1 for ethanol-alone compared to 17 g CO2-eq MJ

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fuel-1 for the combined fuels pathway. There were two reasons identified for the increase in emissions;

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increased processing and decreased protein credits from displacement. In the combined fuels pathway,

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production related emissions increased by 40%, while fuels production only increased by 29%. In regards

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to protein credits, DGS credits account for -14 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1 for ethanol only 29, while the upgraded

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protein supplied a -5 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1 credit. These credits may change if more intensive proteins are

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displaced.

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The results were also highly susceptible to co-product allocation methods within the upgrade

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facility system boundary. The highest emissions for each product across the scenarios was found using

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the displacement method, regardless of DGS allocation strategy. The emissions for producing 1 kg of

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protein was found to be 1.4 kg CO2-eq kg protein-1 and 6.4 kg CO2-eq kg protein-1 for the DGS market and

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energy allocation methods, respectively, while the emissions for producing 1 MJ of fuel production were

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estimated to be 14 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1 and 140 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1, using the DGS market and energy

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allocation methods, respectively. For these scenarios, emissions are not divided amongst the products

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as they are for the other allocation methods but instead rely on displacement credits to accurately

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capture the emissions burden. The protein credit was calculated assuming the displacement of corn

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gluten meal, a protein with relatively low emissions, but if there is an opportunity to displace a more

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emissions intensive protein the value of this credit would increase. For instance, if we consider

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displacing beef, the displacement credit compensates for all the upgrading related emissions 35. This

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variable represents a large uncertainty due to its dependence on the type of protein being displaced and

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highlights the importance of identifying the correct protein displacement markets and displacement

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ratios when applying this method.

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Allocation methods can provide a method to allocate emissions to a variety of products without

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the requirement of choosing the appropriate displacement product. However, the use of allocation

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methods introduces other types of uncertainty into the analysis and requires thoughtful consideration

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on the part of the analyzer. Variability in market price will proportionally affect the division of emissions

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within market allocation. Reducing DGS cost by 20% reduces DGS related emissions by 18% to 54 Gg

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CO2-eq year-1. This further affects product related emissions; for example, fusel alcohol emissions

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calculated using the displacement method reduce from 14 to 9 g CO2-eq MJ fuel-1 through this market

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price fluctuation. Allocation methods also require practioners to choose the most applicable allocation

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method. For instance, energy allocation may not be the most appropriate method for allocating

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emissions to DGS. While the DGS product does contain energy, it is not a traditional energy product,

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thus market allocation provides a more appropriate approach. Regardless of methodical approach, some

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uncertainty may be introduced to the analysis.

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LCA methodology directly effects a product’s ability to meet sustainability metrics. For

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renewable fuels, one important metric is the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) which calls for a 50%

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reduction of emissions when compared to petroleum-based energy products, approximately -26 g CO2-eq

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MJ fuel-1 on a well-to-pump boundary 32,36. The ability of the fusel alcohols to meet this standard is

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dependent on the LCA co-product methodology and is currently not achieved in any of the scenarios.

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The protein emissions were compared to the emissions required to produce one kg of an

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equivalent protein; however, this comparison is somewhat subjective and represents an area of high

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uncertainty. Protein related emissions can range from -1.3 kg CO2-eq (kg protein)-1 for grain-based

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proteins to over 13 kg CO2-eq (kg protein)-1 for human-grade protein, such as beef, when accounting for

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embodied carbon in the protein 32,35,37. Without knowing the correct target protein market, we cannot

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confidently conclude that this protein product represents an emissions savings.

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From this analysis, we can see how system boundary and LCA methodology can have a

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significant impact on product related emission and reaffirms the importance of adopting uniform

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practices within the community, especially when investigating if a product meets certain regulatory

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goals, such as the RFS. We have also identified the importance of understanding product markets and

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displacement ratios, as this variable provides great uncertainty for the current state of the model and

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analysis.

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While emissions improvements remain uncertain, there are several other environmental

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benefits to this upgrade process not captured in the LCA. By producing more fuels from the original

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grain, we can reduce biofuels-based land requirements reducing food versus fuel and land-use change

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concerns. The upgraded protein may also help meet increased global protein demands, by providing a

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product enriched in vital amino acids. Increased utilization of the original feedstock would provide

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environmental benefits by reducing these burdens.

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3.3 Sensitivity Analysis

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A sensitivity analysis was also performed to identify the high impact variables in terms of

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process economics. Results for the top 11 model inputs is presented Figure 4A. Variables whose t-ratios

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fall outside the t-critical range, ± 2.074, are shown to be statistically significant based on a 95%

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confidence interval. A sensitivity analysis was also performed on the emissions, with the results shown

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in Figure 4B. The t-critical ratio for this analysis was found to be ± 2.179.

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A)

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B)

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Figure 4: A) Results from the sensitivity analysis for the top 11 inputs on the economics model and B) results from the sensitivity analysis for the top 9 variables on the LCA model. Variables whose t-ratios fall outside the t-critical range, indicated by the dashed vertical lines, are considered statistically significant based on a 95% confidence interval.

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Protein recovery, solvent recovery and fermentation yield were shown to be high impact areas

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for improving process economics and reducing emissions. An in-depth discussion of the sensitivity

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analysis is available in the Supplemental Information.

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Supporting Information: Table of Techno-Economic assumptions, Table of N-th plant assumptions, Table

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of Life Cycle Inventories, Table of process model inputs, explanation of “Integrated” scenario

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assumptions, Life cycle displacement methods, Life cycle allocation methods, Estimates of Base Case

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capital expenses, Protein market analysis methods and results, Life cycle analysis results, Sensitivity

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analysis discussion

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Acknowledgements

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Support for this work was provided by DOE-EERE BioEnergy Technologies Office (BETO) under agreement number 26336. Sandia National Laboratories is a multi-mission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology and Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC., a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International, Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration under contract DE-NA0003525. This work was part of the DOE Joint BioEnergy Institute (http://www.jbei.org) supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research, through contract DE-AC02- 05CH11231 between Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and the U. S. Department of Energy.

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Fuels Fermentation

Enriched Protein

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