13 Regulation and Innovation: Short-Term Adjustments and Long-Term Impacts GLENN E. SCHWEITZER
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Program on Science, Technology, and Society, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853 During the past few years the chemical industry has responded to a wide range of environmental and health regulations without significant changes -- at least from a national perspective -- in the current a v a i l a b i l i t y and costs of products dependent on chemicals, in employment opportunities, or in the growth or configuration of the industry. Of course, there have been changing emphases in product lines in response to environmental concerns, a few products have been abandoned, and environmental control costs have been a factor in some plant closings. Nevertheless, from the public's viewpoint, the industry continues to operate at the forefront of technological opportunities in providing a wide variety of products for our ever advancing standard of l i v i n g . Indeed, the industry has exhibited a remarkable degree of technological resiliency in adjusting to the dramatic upsurge in regulatory requirements. Much of the success in significantly reducing effluents and emissions in response to air and water pollution limitations of the early 1970's is attributable, at least in part, to the earlier industrial neglect of technological opportunities for curtailing environmental discharges, both in operating old plants and in designing new ones. Similarly, when confronted with requirements several years ago to reduce worker exposure to carcinogens, the industry demonstrated technological ingenuity on many fronts -- in the rapid introduction of substitute chemicals, in new and modified engineering processes that bypass use of the troublesome chemicals, and in vastly improved engineering and r e lated approaches to containment of these chemicals. In short, the immediate economic impacts of regulatory requirements have frequently been overestimated by spokesmen for both industry and Government who have not fully anticipated the technical ingenuity of both management and engineering staffs when near-term p r o f i t a b i l i t y is at stake. However, from the perspective of both individual companies and of the industry, the immediate impacts of regulations can be almost t r i v i a l in comparison with the longer term impacts of these same regulations within an industry that operates on a global basis and on the forward edge of This chapter not subject to U.S. copyright. Published 1979 American Chemical Society
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.
180
FEDERAL REGULATION
AND CHEMICAL INNOVATION
a c o n s t a n t l y changing technology. U n f o r t u n a t e l y , almost every r e g u l a t o r y impact assessment concentrates s o l e l y on the immediatel y apparent impacts on the " t i p of the i c e b e r g " while the impacts on the submerged aspects — and p a r t i c u l a r l y research a c t i v i t i e s — can have a major e f f e c t on the rate and d i r e c t i o n of i n d u s t r i a l production in the years ahead.
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T e c h n o l o g i c a l P e n a l t i e s A s s o c i a t e d with Environmental and Workplace C o n t r o l s While responses to environmental and workplace standards f r e quently s t i m u l a t e c o n s i d e r a b l e i n n o v a t i v e a c t i v i t y among the environmental and chemical engineers, such a c t i v i t i e s are not w i t h out t h e i r t e c h n o l o g i c a l p e n a l t i e s . Compliance with r e g u l a t o r y requirements f r e q u e n t l y r e q u i r e s the d i v e r s i o n of f i n a n c i a l r e sources and t e c h n i c a l manpower from other a c t i v i t i e s , i n c l u d i n g innovative a c t i v i t i e s d i r e c t e d to product or process improvements. Examine, f o r example, the i n d u s t r i a l response to the i n d i c t ment of v i n y l c h l o r i d e as a s e r i o u s environmental and workplace hazard in 1974. Almost every company o p e r a t i n g v i n y l c h l o r i d e or p o l y v i n y l c h l o r i d e production f a c i l i t i e s d i v e r t e d many engineers to t i g h t e n the engineering c o n t r o l s r e q u i r e d to reduce v i n y l c h l o r i d e leakages. They succeeded in s i g n i f i c a n t l y reducing emissions in a very short time. At the same, time, however, many of these s e v e r a l hundred engineers had been d i v e r t e d to work on the v i n y l c h l o r i d e problem from other product and process improvement activities. Indeed, in some companies major development p r o j e c t s were postponed s i n c e the key personnel had been d i v e r t e d from these p r o j e c t s . A l s o , the equipment and r e l a t e d costs r e s u l t e d in d i v e r s i o n of f i n a n c i a l resources from other a c t i v i t i e s , i n c l u d i n g the support of research and development programs. In s h o r t , impending r e g u l a t o r y d e c i s i o n s on v i n y l c h l o r i d e r e s u l t e d in the r a p i d upgrading of chemical engineering approaches in a number of p l a n t s , but at the same time t e c h n o l o g i c a l progress in other areas was delayed. There are a few, but not many, examples of engineering innovations introduced in response to r e g u l a t o r y requirements r e s u l t ing in o v e r a l l cost savings as the r e s u l t of recovery of m a t e r i a l s or other newly introduced e f f i c i e n c i e s . More g e n e r a l l y , a small p o r t i o n of the c o n t r o l c o s t s will be recovered — perhaps ten to twenty percent — as the r e s u l t of improved plant performance. In r e t r o f i t t i n g o l d p l a n t s the percentage of costs that is recove r a b l e is l i k e l y to be lower; in designing new p l a n t s , it may be somewhat h i g h e r . The costs of compliance with p o l l u t i o n abatement r e g u l a t i o n s have been documented in many company, i n d u s t r y , and Government s t u d i e s . These costs o b v i o u s l y impact on company growth, i n v e s t ment d e c i s i o n s , and a l l o c a t i o n of resources among competing company p r i o r i t i e s . Such increased costs of company a c t i v i t i e s impact on t e c h n o l o g i c a l i n n o v a t i o n in s e v e r a l ways. Upgrading of production processes may be postponed. Investments in f a c i l i t i e s
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.
13.
SCHWEITZER
Regulation
and
Innovation
181
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or equipment needed f o r i n t r o d u c i n g new products or processes may be d e f e r r e d . F i n a l l y , research and development budgets may be reduced or perhaps not increased as would otherwise have been the case. A l e s s obvious i n t e r a c t i o n between regulatory compliance and innovation r e l a t e s to the r o l e of management in the innovation process and the i n c r e a s i n g amount of management time devoted to workplace and environmental requirements with l e s s time a v a i l a b l e f o r c o n s i d e r i n g new d i s c o v e r i e s and concepts. The i n n o v a t i o n process r e q u i r e s a number of r i s k - l a d e n d e c i s i o n s . Thus, c a r e f u l management a t t e n t i o n to the d e t a i l s of such d e c i s i o n s can o f t e n be c r i t i c a l to the s u c c e s s f u l development and commercial i n t r o d u c t i o n of new approaches. What Is T e c h n o l o g i c a l
Innovation?
Most i n d u s t r i a l i s t s consider innovation to be synonymous with development o f a new or improved product or process that y i e l d s a profit. Under t h i s d e f i n i t i o n , a chemical company would not cons i d e r the f o l l o w i n g a c t i v i t i e s as i n n o v a t i o n : use by the company for the first time of o f f - t h e - s h e l f technology; a company d i s c o v ery which is s u c c e s s f u l l y commercialized by a competitor; development and use of new engineering technologies to s a t i s f y p o l l u t i o n c o n t r o l requirements. These i n d u s t r i a l i s t s emphasize the many steps i n v o l v e d in the innovation process in going from discovery to p r o f i t , and they consider r e g u l a t o r y requirements as hurdles — and perhaps necessary hurdles — along the path to s u c c e s s f u l innovation. At the other extreme, p u b l i c i n t e r e s t groups could argue that any discovery that b e n e f i t s s o c i e t y in any way should be c o n s i d ered as i n n o v a t i o n . Thus, a r o u t i n e t o x i c o l o g i c a l t e s t that develops new information about a compound would be innovation. I d e n t i f i c a t i o n of i m p u r i t i e s a s s o c i a t e d with a compound would be innovation. E p i d e m i o l o g i c a l s t u d i e s would be innovations. Section 2 of the Toxic Substances C o n t r o l Act s t a t e s that regulatory a u t h o r i t y "should be e x e r c i s e d in a manner as not to impede unduly or create unnecessary economic b a r r i e r s to techn o l o g i c a l innovation . . . " The l e g i s l a t i v e h i s t o r y suggests a d e f i n i t i o n c l o s e to the d e f i n i t i o n of the i n d u s t r i a l i s t s . However, innovation needs to be examined more broadly than from the pers p e c t i v e of a s i n g l e company or the success or f a i l u r e of a s i n g l e p r o j e c t . Thus, if environmental engineers introduce new techniques to reduce the cost or improve the e f f e c t i v e n e s s o f p o l l u t i o n c o n t r o l , such techniques should probably be considered as t e c h n o l o g i c a l innovation. S i m i l a r l y , if t o x i c o l o g i s t s develop cheaper, f a s t e r , o r b e t t e r b i o l o g i c a l screening t e s t s , such d e v e l opments should be considered as i n n o v a t i o n . On the other hand, d e t a i l e d c h a r a c t e r i z a t i o n of the b i o l o g i c a l , p h y s i c a l , or chemical p r o p e r t i e s of compounds using standard methods should probably not be c l a s s i f i e d as i n n o v a t i o n .
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.
182
FEDERAL REGULATION AND CHEMICAL INNOVATION
Research
and
The ies
a
two
rapid
few
causes
Development
for
a
ago
and
and
(b)
a
As
the
the
mix One
These
most
additional
are
being
also
pounds
that
realignment
of
additional tional more
R&D b u d g e t
environmental
often
the
new
regard
noticeable established on
company the
new
most
but
in
cals
that
are
Many
of
anticipated an
these
R&D c y c l e ,
the
cycle,
the
achievements Some in
fewer environ-
the
objectives and
and
R&D b u d g e t s
health
percent
exceeding for
of
of
substitutes
ten for
Sigpercent,
com-
agencies.
necessitated to
This
hiring
of
Sometimes
the
the
R&D b u d g e t ,
another
specialists.
been
the
compounds.
regulatory
has
is
activities.
addi-
R&D u n i t s ,
but
accommodated w i t h i n
an
of
is
broadening
of
new
placed
their
products. percent
reducing
more
R&D e f f o r t ,
occurring.
being
command l e s s
are
the
are
than
the
detailed
on
of ten
number
most
improving
uses, For
several
Perhaps with
less
example,
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emone
R&D b u d g e t
percent. of
in
In
newly
in
another
synthesized
characterization
of
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changes
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direct
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the
established
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attendant
greater
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increase
likelihood
competitors,
response
or
new
to
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concern which
that
being
is in
is
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or
resulting
devoted
to
lengthening
risk.
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market
of
longer
factors,
regulations
will
inhibit
commercialization. companies their
that
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character
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hydrocarbons). interesting
have
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plagued
of
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by
since the
avoid
they
certain
because
regulatory
molecular
Another
bring
to
simply
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compounds
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investigations
chemicals.
chemicals
in
percentage
of
eral
pected
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remainder
regulations.
the
pounds
level,
with
significantly,
within
available
c o m m a n d e d 25
of
research
successful
realistic
are
the
synthesized.
increasing
defensive
the
years
R&D d u r i n g
companies,
effects
of
health
made
emphasis
now
favor
of
recent
concerns,
ten
search
orientation and
companies
chemicals
in
the
development
1
some
compan-
l i s t
limitation.
in
ventures
in
changing
health
targets
and
in
more
larger
the
industry
changes
priorities
been
greater
mid-1960 s
area,
to
products
the
the
positions
changes
significantly, phasis
have
R&D p e r s o n n e l
With
to
the
of
changing.
sometimes
the
Companies
R&D g r o w t h .
are
exceed
the
funds,
become
positions
overall
of
directed
have
a
environmental
typically
nificant
In
slowed
discernible
evaluations
to
chemical
regulatory
also
for
top
overinvestment
the
of
the
R&D e x p e n d i t u r e s
also
is
expenditures
for
At
R&D a c t i v i t i e s
expenditures
largely
of
Chemical
characterized
retrenchment
result
of
the
of (a)
have
researchers
of
of
Large
diversification.
direct
orientation
growth
off
maturity costs
and
of
R&D t h a t
factors:
for
control
in
subsided.
subsequent
growing
opportunities mental
in
has
levelling
interrelated
I960's
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growth
years
Trends
chemicals
is in
com-
possibility
problems
due
to
abandoned
company
of
the
structures have
classes
of
(e.g.
about
appeared
100 on
backing off close
the
gen-
chlorinated commercially
lists on
proximity
of
all
sus-
uses to
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.
food
of
13.
SCHWEITZER
supplies
or
redirect
its
cals
that
areas
to
The
now
of
as
new
in
response
limited
to
one
chemicals t i a l
to
to
new
high
the
the
small
chemicals
new
In
short,
aspects
that
are
decline
of
a
is
decided
uses
of
to
chemi-
while
ex-
characterized
by
of
some
chemistry,
very
as
high
rather of
continue
starting
a
new
investing volume
to
sources
materials
by
term small
within
of
small be
in
frequently
trend
number
than
long
produced
markets,
has
noticeable
volume,
are
clearly
limited
numbers
companies
for
small
commercialized
particularly
which
now
markets
being
is
intended
needs
larger
used
all
has
to was
1
of
There
volume in
I960 s
chemicals
emphasize
R&D r e s o u r c e s
Meanwhile,
This
customer.
with
batch-lot
to
usage.
and
molecules
chemicals
contrasted
companies
s
1
company
limits.
years.
batches large
1950
off
new
recent
another
exclusively
understanding
largely
considering
S t i l l
commercial
the
183
Innovation
almost
in
in
expand
in
markets
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already
number
declined when
R&D e f f o r t s
research
are
and
drinking water.
are
ploratory attempts
Regulation
substan-
chemicals. of
the
many
large
com-
panies . The from
sequence,
synthesis
Preliminary more
the
R&D c y c l e
than
more
many
lifetimes
as
length
the
of
In
the
of
for
lot
production cycle
for
the
issues
an
addressed
ment
is
Most tive
in
become
concern
are
develop
directors
are
as
Indeed,
a
had
delayed In-
potential overall
tests) other
can
of
be
cases
of
newly
the
time
conducted
such
simply
as
in
batch-
extend
the
program. the
R&D p r o c e s s
checkpoints the
R&D l e a d
aspects
portion
are
corporate potential
to
an
usually
unpre-
built
environmental problems
to
the
necessity
permits
for
pilot
the
to
to
the
charged are
new
are
to
that
into staff
must
be
clearly the
Federal
or
to
cases
devote of
This
process
requireas
b e c o m i n g more They
regulatory
acceptability
obtain
well
as
R&D b u d g e t s .
chemicals.
with
inclined
there
to
plants.
commercialization
often
hassles
usually
in de-
effects.
the
some
requirements
test
case,
directors
in
often
cases, (e.g.
formalized
relates
approaches
questions products.
test
the
often
their
and
is
earlier
project.
delaying
which
have
In
identifying
1 1
control
embroiled
such
toxicity
new
of
one
R&D
research
their
effects,
assessments
have
In
each
further costs
In
chronic
are
in
test)
Meanwhile,
health
earlier
changing.
extended.
chemicals
Environmental
R&D " p e r m i t
pollution
raising
new
testing
steps
are
much
ago.
possible
abandoned
years.
length
cycle. in
of
R&D a c t i v i t i e s .
companies
Another state
are
activities, the
degree.
entire
market
suspected
other
R&D
years
and
many
Ames
several
being
long-term
(e.g.
case
is
ten
the
undertaken
of
major
in
molecules
activity
result
to
new
usually
evaluations
environmental
with
Large
the
involved of
R&D c y c l e
past,
required
costs
is
feasibility,
the
parallel
cedented
was
and
molecules
seven
instituted
and
biological
now
detailed
evitably,
times
for
commonplace
efficacy,
pending
timing,
commercialization
testing
far
tailed
to
of
large
conserva-
not
eager
agencies.
new
their
are
chemicals,
efforts
companies
to
to
Should these other
abandoning
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.
a
184
FEDERAL REGULATION AND CHEMICAL
INNOVATION
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complete l i n e o f products (e.g. dyes), with r e g u l a t o r y concerns being a major f a c t o r in the business d e c i s i o n s . Perhaps of even greater concern is the dampening e f f e c t of r e g u l a t i o n s on the enthusiasm and i n q u i s i t i v e n e s s of the R&D s c i e n t i s t s . While s y n t h e s i s of a new chemical is r e l a t i v e l y easy, t r a n s l a t i n g a new molecule i n t o a commercial success is not easy. One c r i t i c a l element in success s t o r i e s is an i n d i v i d u a l researcher who is w i l l i n g to devote h i s energies and r e p u t a t i o n f o r a number of years to h e l p i n g overcome a v a r i e t y o f t e c h n i c a l and b u s i ness d i f f i c u l t i e s on the path to commercialization. As the regul a t o r y d i f f i c u l t i e s i n c r e a s e , fewer researchers are w i l l i n g to devote t h e i r e f f o r t s to t h i s type of a c t i v i t y with i n c r e a s i n g odds of f a i l u r e . Changes in Corporate Approaches that A f f e c t T e c h n o l o g i c a l D e c i sions Environmental r e g u l a t i o n s now c o n s t i t u t e a r e g u l a r agenda item a t the meetings of most Boards of D i r e c t o r s of the l a r g e chemical companies. The impacts of environmental requirements permeate the e n t i r e corporate s t r u c t u r e . S t a f f s of h e a l t h and ecology s p e c i a l i s t s have expanded r a p i d l y , and medical departments have been enlarged. The competition f o r t o x i c o l o g i s t s in p a r t i c u l a r is r e s u l t i n g in unprecedented s a l a r i e s f o r these s p e c i a l i s t s . Concurrent with these i n t e r n a l company adjustments, some companies are g i v i n g greater a t t e n t i o n to the p u b l i c r e l a t i o n s aspects o f environmental consciousness, i n c l u d i n g the encouragement o f p u b l i c a t i o n of i n t e r n a l company s c i e n t i f i c f i n d i n g s , the r e l e a s e of data on environmental c o n t r o l expenditures, and the p u b l i c i z i n g of internal'company environmental p o l i c i e s . There are many examples o f how chemical companies are changing as the r e s u l t of r e g u l a t o r y requirements. Two developments that may become industry-wide trends are p a r t i c u l a r l y i n t e r e s t i n g . As the r e s u l t of r e g u l a t i o n s c a l l i n g f o r prompt r e p o r t i n g to EPA of any d i s c o v e r y w i t h i n a company that a chemical- manufactured or processed by that company may present a " s u b s t a n t i a l r i s k , " many companies have e s t a b l i s h e d extensive i n t e r n a l r e p o r t i n g systems to b r i n g such d i s c o v e r i e s to the immediate a t t e n t i o n o f top management. In the past, heavy r e l i a n c e was placed on the l o c a l doctors a t the p l a n t s i t e s and on the t o x i c o l o g i c a l s t a f f s to handle as a p p r o p r i a t e new information on chemical hazards. Now with the establishment of formal i n t e r n a l r e p o r t i n g systems, the s e n s i t i v i t y o f corporate s t a f f s a t all l e v e l s to environmental and h e a l t h concerns is at an all time h i g h . Many l a r g e companies are becoming i n c r e a s i n g l y s e l e c t i v e in purchasing chemicals from small s u p p l i e r s who do not f o l l o w sound environmental or worker p r o t e c t i o n c o n t r o l procedures. This a t t i tude is d i r e c t l y r e l a t e d to the problems a s s o c i a t e d with the production of kepone by L i f e Sciences, Inc., f o r use by a s i n g l e customer, A l l i e d Chemical Company. S i m i l a r l y , on a number of r e cent occasions l a r g e chemical companies have withheld s a l e s to
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.
13.
SCHWEITZER
Regulation
and
Innovation
185
small customers who do not have the environmental wherewithal to handle the chemicals in a safe manner.
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The Changing Regulatory
Framework Surrounding Technology Choices
About once a month, a new l e g i s l a t i v e a c t i o n , court d e c i s i o n , or r e g u l a t o r y proposal modifies the l e g a l framework surrounding r e g u l a t o r y proceedings. With each new Congress, there is an inc r e a s i n g d e s i r e to " l e g i s l a t e " r e g u l a t o r y a c t i o n s d i r e c t e d to spec i f i c products and problems and to i n c r e a s e the p r e c i s i o n of the c r i t e r i a to be used by the agencies in reaching c o n t r o v e r s i a l d e c i s i o n s . Many of the recent procedural requirements w r i t t e n i n t o r e g u l a t o r y l e g i s l a t i o n have been designed to strengthen the hand of the p u b l i c i n t e r e s t groups. Perhaps most importantly, more and more a t t e n t i o n is now d i r e c t e d by the r e g u l a t o r y agencies to procedural matters, o f t e n a t the expense of substantive i s s u e s . T e c h n i c a l personnel are i n c r e a s i n g l y i n s u l a t e d from the n e g o t i a t i o n and decision-making processes, as lawyers become more important. F i n a l l y , the complexity of the r e g u l a t o r y process i n e v i tably increases. The courts are becoming more h e a v i l y involved in t o x i c substance cases, thus f o r c i n g greater a t t e n t i o n in the administrat i v e proceedings to b u i l d i n g a r e c o r d . However, few judges are content simply to review procedural adequacies and the completeness o f the record and to insure that decision-making has not been a r b i t r a r y and c a p r i c i o u s . Rather, they are no longer h e s i s t a n t to s u b s t i t u t e t h e i r s o c i e t a l judgements f o r those of r e g u l a t o r y administrators in c o n t r o v e r s i a l d e c i s i o n s . Three recent a c t i o n s i n v o l v i n g the courts are p a r t i c u l a r l y relevant to current concerns over chemical c o n t r o l , namely: — the d i s c u s s i o n of the nature of s c i e n t i f i c evidence accompanying the d e c i s i o n of the Court of Appeals concerning the removal of lead from g a s o l i n e . — the d e n i a l of the l i a b i l i t y claims of Galaxy Chemical Company against a doctor who on the b a s i s of very slender evidence p u b l i c l y accused the company o f c o n t r i b u t i n g to an a l l e g e d i n c r e a s e of cancer r a t e s . — the current l e g a l s u i t s of a number of former employees of American Can Company, who are a l l e g i n g increased b r o n c h i a l problems a t t r i b u t e d to t h e i r employment with that company, against many of the chemical s u p p l i e r s of that company a f t e r the workers had exhausted worker compensation claims against t h e i r d i r e c t employer. With regard to the a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of r e g u l a t o r y programs, t o x i c substances l e g i s l a t i o n is r e s u l t i n g in a more i n t r o v e r t e d Government. The agencies now seem more concerned with i n t e r n a l c o o r d i n a t i o n and i n t e r n a l n e g o t i a t i o n s and l e s s s e n s i t i v e to developments in the p r i v a t e s e c t o r and to the need f o r and impact of r e g u l a t i o n s . As the r e g u l a t o r y agencies continue to grow, as t h e i r programs overlap to a greater degree, as t h e i r l e g i s l a -
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t i v e l y mandated tasks i n c r e a s e , and as d e c i s i o n s become more complex, the l i m i t e d time a v a i l a b l e to top management is i n c r e a s i n g l y devoted to intra-agency and inter-agency n e g o t i a t i o n s and c o o r d i nation. Further, the continuously changing l e a d e r s h i p of the agencies is always low on a l e a r n i n g curve which is quite long in view of the complex character of the chemical i n d u s t r y . Not surp r i s i n g l y , these officials are more comfortable in i n t e r n a l d i s cussions than exposing t h e i r u n c e r t a i n t i e s to e x t e r n a l s c r u t i n y . F i n a l l y , concerns over p o t e n t i a l c o n f l i c t s of i n t e r e s t are a s i g n i f i c a n t deterrent to b r i n g i n g the t e c h n i c a l e x p e r t i s e of the chemical i n d u s t r y i n t o the decision-making stream, e i t h e r through personnel appointments to Governmental posts or through e f f e c t i v e Government-industry i n t e r a c t i o n s . As a r e s u l t of the inward l o o k i n g tendencies which are becoming more commonplace throughout the Government, p r i n c i p a l forums f o r meaningful i n t e r a c t i o n s between Government and i n t e r ested p a r t i e s , and p a r t i c u l a r l y the i n d u s t r i a l s e c t o r , are inc r e a s i n g l y l i m i t e d to h i g h l y s t r u c t u r e d p u b l i c meetings and adm i n i s t r a t i v e hearings. This development has s e v e r a l drawbacks. The l i k e l i h o o d of a d v e r s a r i a l confrontations over minor i s s u e s is g r e a t l y increased. Suspicion over Government motivations runs high. The r e c e p t i v i t y of Government to e x t e r n a l views is reduced since many compromises have already been made w i t h i n the agencies p r i o r to p u b l i c s c r u t i n y of r e g u l a t i o n s , and Government officials are not anxious f o r these compromises to become "unstuck". F i n a l l y , the range of a l t e r n a t i v e approaches that can be r e a l i s t i c a l l y cons i d e r e d is very narrow given the usual s t r i c t n e s s of the ground r u l e s surrounding such p u b l i c s e s s i o n s . Meanwhile, the r o l e of the s c i e n t i s t is changing. On the one hand, s c i e n t i s t s are being asked to provide p r e c i s e estimates of chemical r i s k s o f t e n based on very sketchy l a b o r a t o r y data. Then they are f r e q u e n t l y excluded from the d e l i b e r a t i o n s l e a d i n g to determinations as to whether the r i s k s are acceptable to s o c i e t y , only to be c a l l e d i n t o l e g a l proceedings l a t e r to help defend such value judgements. As the r e s u l t of pressures from the l e g a l prof e s s i o n to be as c l e a r as p o s s i b l e as to r i s k s , and p a r t i c u l a r l y with regard to p o s s i b l e carcinogenic e f f e c t s , many s c i e n t i s t s are now taking s i d e s in very c o n t r o v e r s i a l debates (e.g. carcinogen threshhold vs. no threshhold) even when they b e l i e v e that c l e a r cut p o s i t i o n s may be d i s t o r t i n g s c i e n t i f i c r e a l i t y . The i n s p e c t i o n s by Government to insure compliance with Good Laboratory P r a c t i c e s are r e s u l t i n g in an upgrading of shoddy pract i c e s in many l a b o r a t o r i e s . However, t h i s i n t r u s i o n i n t o the inner sanctum of the s c i e n t i f i c establishment is indeed a r e v o l u t i o n a r y challenge to the long h e l d concept of s c i e n t i f i c i n t e g r i t y . At the same time, the i n c r e a s i n g scope of l a b o r a t o r y t e s t s p r o s c r i b e d by Government — w h i l e s e t t i n g a minimum standard which must be achieved by all — will i n e v i t a b l y discourage some innovative e f f o r t s by companies to explore other approaches to t o x i c o l o g y which in the long run might have proven more e f f e c t i v e than the
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accepted t e s t requirements. In t h i s regard, there probably is still time to b u i l d i n t o Governmental r e g u l a t i o n s f l e x i b i l i t y which recognizes that there may be b e t t e r and cheaper ways to conduct t e s t s and which rewards i n d u s t r y f o r devoting e f f o r t s in t h i s direction. Thus, r e g u l a t i o n is impacting on R&D in many ways. Increasing a t t e n t i o n is being devoted to very v i s i b l e changes in R&D a c t i v i t i e s in response to r e g u l a t o r y trends. However, there are a l s o more i n d i r e c t impacts that will be important in the years ahead. These i n d i r e c t impacts are already developing t h e i r r o o t s in the changing l e g a l and a d m i n i s t r a t i v e apparatus surrounding the r e g u l a t o r y process and in the changing a t t i t u d e s and approaches of the many p a r t i c i p a n t s in chemical a c t i v i t i e s . Modifying the L e g i s l a t i v e Base Fundamental to s i g n i f i c a n t improvements in the r e g u l a t o r y process is a reshaping of the l e g i s l a t i v e base which d r i v e s the r e g u l a t o r y a c t i v i t i e s of the executive agencies. At the top of the p r i o r i t y l i s t should be (a) a r e c a s t i n g of the o b j e c t i v e s of concern, and (b) the establishment of mechanisms which will help d e c i s i o n makers understand the impact — both p o s i t i v e and negat i v e — of r e g u l a t i o n s on s o c i e t y . S p e c i f i c a l l y , S e c t i o n 30 of the Toxic Substances C o n t r o l Act should be r e c a s t . This p r o v i s i o n r e q u i r e s an annual accounting to Congress of r e g u l a t o r y a c t i o n s taken by EPA but does not even r e f e r to the f a r more important i s s u e , namely, the impact of the law — e i t h e r d i r e c t l y as a r e s u l t of these a c t i o n s or in other ways — on h e a l t h and the environment and, at the same time, on other s o c i e t a l concerns. U n t i l the Congress recognizes that the number of r e g u l a t i o n s that are promulgated may have little relat i o n s h i p to the s t a t e of the environment, a preoccupation with the weight of the F e d e r a l R e g i s t e r will continue to take precedence over more meaningful h e a l t h and environmental concerns. C l o s e l y r e l a t e d to the need f o r a r e f o c u s i n g of l e g i s l a t i v e o b j e c t i v e s is the need f o r a l e g i s l a t i v e l y mandated Commission to evaluate the impact on s o c i e t y , i n c l u d i n g the chemical i n d u s t r y , of r e c e n t l y enacted l e g i s l a t i o n and to present recommendations f o r mid-course c o r r e c t i o n s in the l e g i s l a t i o n that will s u r e l y be in order in s e v e r a l years. Quite understandably the complexities of the chemical i n d u s t r y defy an easy and quick grasp by lawmakers of the impact of l e g i s l a t i o n on the t e c h n o l o g i c a l base that u n d e r l i e s 15 percent of U.S. i n d u s t r y and that a f f e c t s every consumer. A s e r i o u s e f f o r t to improve such understanding, d i r e c t l y i n v o l v i n g at l e a s t a few of the key Senators and Congressmen, seems essential. Given the stakes i n v o l v e d , both environmental and economic, such a study e f f o r t , even if only p a r t i a l l y s u c c e s s f u l , should serve s o c i e t a l i n t e r e s t s in many ways. F i n a l l y , prompt steps are needed to a l t e r some of the p r o v i sions of the Toxic Substances C o n t r o l Act which d i v e r t a t t e n t i o n from the main problems at hand and can only l e a d to long and
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p r o t a c t e d l e g a l c o n f r o n t a t i o n s with little environmental p a y o f f . S p e c i f i c a l l y , a lower chemical production l i m i t (e.g. one or ten pounds per chemical per year per manufacturer) should be adopted f o r a p p l i c a b i l i t y of t h i s new law in the absence of i n d i c a t i o n s that in s p e c i f i c cases the lower l i m i t should be removed. At present, even a few grams of a chemical produced f o r commercial purposes is a u t o m a t i c a l l y subject to a v a r i e t y of l e g a l p r o v i s i o n s . I t is c e r t a i n l y true that a few grams of a poisonous chemi c a l can be a problem. However, there are more than enough problem chemicals produced in much l a r g e r q u a n t i t i e s that need a t t e n t i o n r a t h e r than complicating the research and r e l a t e d i s s u e s that i n e v i t a b l y a r i s e in d e a l i n g with all chemicals produced in such small q u a n t i t i e s . Secondly, the extensive requirements f o r immed i a t e p u b l i c a t i o n by EPA in the F e d e r a l R e g i s t e r of the r e c e i p t of premanufacturing n o t i f i c a t i o n s and of the reasons f o r not t a k i n g r e g u l a t o r y a c t i o n s under s e v e r a l l e g a l p r o v i s i o n s are simply inv i t i n g unnecessary a d v e r s a r i a l c o n f r o n t a t i o n s when the resources i n v o l v e d could be b e t t e r expended in d e a l i n g w i t h more s i g n i f i c a n t i s s u e s . C r i t e r i a could be e a s i l y e s t a b l i s h e d concerning the need f o r and frequency of F e d e r a l R e g i s t e r n o t i c e s . C l e a r l y , the area of t e s t i n g of e x i s t i n g chemicals will be fraught with s c i e n t i f i c u n c e r t a i n t i e s and c o n t r o v e r s i e s over p r i o r i t i e s and cost s h a r i n g . This is p r e c i s e l y the area where industry has a s t o r y to t e l l , an opportunity to help shape f u t u r e approaches, and an opportunity to help reduce the a d v e r s a r i a l tensions that c h a r a c t e r i z e Government-industry r e l a t i o n s at present. S p e c i f i c a l l y , the l a r g e companies should pledge themselves to a prompt doubling of the budget of the Chemical Industry I n s t i t u t e of Toxicology, with the " e x p e c t a t i o n " that Government would recogn i z e such t e s t i n g as j u s t as important as t e s t i n g in response to F e d e r a l R e g i s t e r n o t i c e s . Perhaps the lawyers from i n d u s t r y would want to provide a little p r o t e c t i o n by c o u p l i n g t h i s i n i t i a t i v e with a c i t i z e n s p e t i t i o n to EPA concerning the s p e c i f i c chemi c a l s to be t e s t e d . Should such an i n i t i a t i v e work — i . e . not only r e s u l t in needed t e s t i n g but a l s o gain r e c o g n i t i o n that such v o l u n t a r y a c t i o n s count in the Government r e p o r t card — then a second i n i t i a t i v e under S e c t i o n 6 of the new law should be considered. S p e c i f i c a l l y , i n d u s t r y might commit i t s e l f to p r e p a r a t i o n and d i s t r i b u t i o n of s a f e t y data sheets, r e f l e c t i n g a v a i l a b l e h e a l t h and environmental data, on all chemicals that are s o l d . Again, the Government would be expected to recognize such an i n i t i a t i v e as an important complement to the current l i m i t e d r e g u l a t o r y approach under S e c t i o n 6 of p l a c i n g l i m i t a t i o n s only on p o l y c h l o r i n a t e d b i phenyls and s e l e c t e d c h l o r o f l u o r o c a r b o n s . The Carcinogen
Issue
The u n c e r t a i n t y as to the Government's approach to c a r c i n o gens is c u r r e n t l y having a major dampening e f f e c t on research a c t i v i t i e s of a number of companies. While prompt a r t i c u l a t i o n of
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a Government-wide p o l i c y is t h e r e f o r e very important, the current approach of OSHA needs some m o d i f i c a t i o n to r e f l e c t sound s c i e n c e and improved p u b l i c a d m i n i s t r a t i o n . The OSHA concept of c a t e g o r i z i n g chemicals which e x h i b i t c a r cinogenic tendencies on the b a s i s of demonstrated potency has e l i c i t e d broad support. However, the c a t e g o r i z a t i o n schemes that are adopted should be uniform throughout the Government. EPA, CPSC, FDA, and DOT are in the midst of addressing the carcinogen i s s u e . Therefore, the f i n a l OSHA set of standards should be coupled to equal3.y formal a c t i o n s by the other agencies d i r e c t e d to a cons i s t e n t approach f o r c a t e g o r i z i n g carcinogens according to t h e i r demonstrated potency. Each agency, of course, must then determine the appropriate r e g u l a t o r y response to chemicals in each category depending on the exposure l e v e l s and s t a t u t o r y requirements concerning economic impact. Secondly, the concept that one or two animal experiments should be the o v e r r i d i n g determinant of potency r e g a r d l e s s o f other a v a i l a b l e evidence is not sound. While c e r t a i n types of t e s t r e s u l t s may s t r o n g l y suggest c e r t a i n l e v e l s of potency, g u i d e l i n e s r a t h e r than r i g i d t e s t r e s u l t c r i t e r i a should be establ i s h e d f o r each category, with the category assignment made on a chemical-by-chemical b a s i s a f t e r c o n s i d e r a t i o n of all r e l e v a n t evidence. While OSHA s motivations in attempting t o automate the c a t e g o r i z a t i o n system are understandable, r e s p o n s i b l e p o l i c y d e c i sions should be made on the b a s i s of all a v a i l a b l e evidence, r e cognizing that in some cases r e s u l t s of a s i n g l e t e s t may be f a r more s i g n i f i c a n t than all the other evidence combined. F i n a l l y , with g u i d e l i n e s in hand, the task would then be to place i n d i v i d u a l chemicals i n t o appropriate c a t e g o r i e s . This is a s c i e n t i f i c task that should be undertaken by the best a v a i l a b l e s c i e n t i f i c t a l e n t in the country. F u r t h e r , t h i s task should be undertaken in a manner that will serve the i n t e r e s t s of all concerned Government agencies and not j u s t OSHA. Therefore, an expert s c i e n t i f i c panel, drawing members from both the p u b l i c and p r i v a t e s e c t o r s and with the f u l l support of OSHA and other regul a t o r y agencies, should be e s t a b l i s h e d under the aegis of the C o u n c i l on Environmental Q u a l i t y . T h i s Panel would recommend f o r Government-wide a c t i o n the appropriate category f o r each chemical a s s o c i a t e d with c a r c i n o g e n i c tendencies. With regard to OSHA, these recommendations should then t r i g g e r the a p p r o p r i a t e workplace standard f o r the category of chemical. Should the Secretary of Labor disagree w i t h the Panel's recommendations, he would of course have the o p t i o n of separate rulemaking processes in those cases of disagreement. As Government agencies grow l a r g e r , there is an i n c r e a s i n g r e l u c t a n c e to e n t r u s t any r e s p o n s i b i l i t y to groups not under the d i r e c t c o n t r o l of the i n t e r e s t e d agency. In t h i s case, where the i s s u e s are s c i e n t i f i c and where much of the nation's best t a l e n t is in the p r i v a t e sector, the p u b l i c i n t e r e s t r a t h e r than f r a g 1
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merited i n t e r e s t s of i n d i v i d u a l Governmental o f f i c e s should be recognized and an appropriate o r g a n i z a t i o n a l response developed. The stakes i n v o l v e d in the OSHA r e g u l a t o r y proceeding are s u b s t a n t i a l , not only in terms of worker r i s k s , but a l s o in terms of our economic welfare and the processes of good Government. While the Department of Labor's d e s i r e to promulgate a standard without delay is commendable, it is e s s e n t i a l that the complexi t i e s of s c i e n c e , the i n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p s of Governmental programs, and the appropriate r o l e f o r i n d i v i d u a l Government o f f i c e s be c a r e f u l l y weighed p r i o r to reaching a f i n a l judgement as to the workplace standards that will best serve the p u b l i c i n t e r e s t .
Literature Cited Draft Economic Impact Assessment for the Proposed Toxic Substances Control Act S. 776, Environmental Protection Agency, June 1975. Study of the Potential Economic Impacts of the Proposed Toxic Sub stances Control Act as Illustrated by Senate Bill S. 776, Manu facturing Chemists Associaton, June 26, 1975. Legislative History of the Toxic Substances Control Act, Prepared by the Environment and Natural Resources Policy Division of the Library of Congress, U.S. Government Printing Office, December 1976. Preliminary Assessment of the Environmental Problems Associated with Vinyl Chloride and Polyvinyl Chloride, Report on the A c t i v i ties of the Vinyl Chloride Task Force, Environmental Protection Agency, September 1974. Voluntary Environmental A c t i v i t i e s of Large Chemical Companies to Assess and Control Industrial Chemicals, Environmental Protection Agency, EPA 560/4-76-009, September 1976. Gee, Edwin A. and Tyler, Chaplin, Managing Innovation, John F. Wiley, 1976. Nason, Howard Κ., Steger, Joseph A. and Manners, George Ε., Sup port of Basic Research by Industry, Prepared for the National Science Foundation (NSF-C76-21517), 1978. "R&D Expenditures of Leading Chemical Companies," Management Bul l e t i n , Ε. I. DuPont Public Affairs Department, September-October 1977.
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Quinn, James Β., "U.S. Monetary Policy: A Heavy Hand in Tech nology," Technology Review, October/November 1976. Ashford, Nicholas A. and Heaton, George R., "Environmental and Safety Regulations: Reasons for their Adoption and Possible Effects on Technological Innovation," Testimony to Senate Commerce Committee, June 23, 1975.
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"Views of Industry R&D Vice Presidents on Federal Policy and In dustry R&D Innovation," As Expressed to Dr. Frank Press, Director, Office of Science and Technology Policy, October 25, 1977. Wiedenbaum, Murray L., "Government Regulation and the Slowdown in Innovation," Presented to the Chemical Forum, Washington, DC, October 11, 1977. Evaluation of the Possible Impact of Pesticide Legislation on Research and Development Activities of Pesticide Manufacturers, Arthur D. L i t t l e , Inc., Prepared for the Environmental Protection Agency, 1975. "Identification, Classification, and Regulation of Certain Toxic Substances," Occupational Safety and Health Administration, 29 CFR Part 1990, October 4, 1977. "Regulatory Analysis of a Proposed Policy for the Identification, Classification, and Regulation of Toxic Substances Posing a Poten tial Occupational Carcinogenic Risk," Department of Labor, October 17, 1978. "OSHA Proposal for the Identification, Classification, and Regula tion of Toxic Substances Posing a Potential Occupational Carcino genic Risk," Report of the Regulatory Analysis Review Group, October 24, 1978. "Letter from Edward Strohbehn to Eula Bingham on OSHA Generic Car cinogen Proposal," Council on Environmental Qualty, October 24, 1978. "Technological Innovation and Health, Safety and Environmental Regulation," Office of Technology Assessment Proposal 78-11, Sep tember 1978. "Domestic Policy Review of Industrial Innovation: Work Plan," The Domestic Council, The White House, September 18, 1978. "Detailed Guidelines for Analyzing Economic Impacts," Environ mental Protection Agency, July 11, 1978. RECEIVED
March
9,
1979.
Hill; Federal Regulation and Chemical Innovation ACS Symposium Series; American Chemical Society: Washington, DC, 1979.