Spatial Models of Sewer Pipe Leakage Predict the Occurrence of

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Spatial models of sewer pipe leakage predict the occurrence of wastewater indicators in shallow urban groundwater Patrick R. Roehrdanz, Marina Feraud, Do Gyun Lee, Jay C Means, Shane A. Snyder, and Patricia A. Holden Environ. Sci. Technol., Just Accepted Manuscript • DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.6b05015 • Publication Date (Web): 20 Dec 2016 Downloaded from http://pubs.acs.org on December 29, 2016

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Environmental Science & Technology

Spatial models of sewer pipe leakage predict the occurrence of wastewater indicators in shallow urban groundwater Patrick R. Roehrdanz1,2, Marina Feraud1,2, Do Gyun Lee1,2,3, Jay C. Means1,2, Shane A. Snyder4, Patricia A. Holden1,2* 1

Bren School of Environmental Science & Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA

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Earth Research Institute, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA

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Incheon National University, Incheon 22012, Korea

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Department of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA

*Corresponding author: Patricia A. Holden, 3508 Bren Hall, Bren School of Environmental Science & Management, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA 93106-5131 E-mail: [email protected]; phone: +1 805 893 3195; fax: +1 805 893 7612.

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ABSTRACT Twentieth century municipal wastewater infrastructure greatly improved U.S. urban

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public health and water quality. However, sewer pipes deteriorate and their accumulated

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structural defects may release untreated wastewater to the environment via acute breaks or

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insidious exfiltration. Exfiltrated wastewater constitutes a loss of potentially reusable water and

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delivers a complex and variable mix of contaminants to urban shallow groundwater. Yet,

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predicting where deteriorated sewers impinge on shallow groundwater has been challenging.

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Here we develop and test a spatially explicit model of exfiltration probability based on pipe

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attributes and groundwater elevation without prior knowledge of exfiltrating defect locations. We

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find that models of exfiltration probability can predict the probable occurrence in underlying

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shallow groundwater of established wastewater indicators including the artificial sweetener

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acesulfame, tryptophan-like fluorescent dissolved organic matter, nitrate, and a stable isotope of

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water (δ18O). The strength of the association between exfiltration probability and indicators of

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wastewater increased when multiple pipe attributes, distance weighting, and groundwater flow

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direction were considered in the model. The results prove that available sanitary sewer databases

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and groundwater digital elevation data can be analyzed to predict where pipes are likely leaking

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and contaminating groundwater. Such understanding could direct sewer infrastructure

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reinvestment towards water resource protection.

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Keywords: exfiltration, groundwater, sewer, wastewater, geographic information system

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INTRODUCTION

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Well-functioning sanitary sewer systems collect and convey urban wastewater to

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centralized treatment plants where nutrients are sequestered into biosolid residues, and pathogen

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concentrations are decreased significantly by disinfection before treated effluents discharge to

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rivers and oceans. Collecting and treating sewage has profoundly improved water quality and

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diminished the prevalence of infectious diseases in the 20th century urban U.S.1 The associated

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infrastructure is by now immense: approximately 800,000 miles of publicly owned sewer mains2

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convey sewage to wastewater treatment plants for 75% of the nation’s population.3 However,

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many sewers worldwide are aged and deteriorated, with non-catastrophic accumulated defects

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allowing sewage to leak, or exfiltrate, into surrounding soils.4-6 As a consequence of exfiltration,

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nutrients, pathogens,4, 7-9 and legacy and emerging contaminants including pharmaceuticals10 can

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enter shallow groundwater.11-14 Exfiltration rates vary8 and may total 10% or more of dry

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weather collection system flow;4, 12, 15-18 thus, where wastewater is intended for recharge or reuse

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post-treatment,19 exfiltrated sewage is a lost water resource. Exfiltration can contaminate

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drinking water sources, recreational waters, and aquatic habitats, since shallow groundwater

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migrates into deep aquifers via preferential pathways4, 20 and to surface waters via base flow

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recharge21-24 or compromised storm drains.25, 26 Disinfectants and antimicrobial agents in

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exfiltrated sewage contribute to the evolution and dissemination of antibiotic resistance genes in

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the environment.27 As groundwater supplies shift with climate change,28 wastewater

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infrastructure should be managed to reduce subsurface contamination.

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Remediation of exfiltration requires sewer rehabilitation or replacement which, at a full

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cost in the U.S. alone of more than $50 billion,3 is overall not economically feasible. Eliminating

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alum in potable water treatment may prevent concrete sewer “crown corrosion”, whereby pipes


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deteriorate from the strong acid formed following organic matter-fueled bacterial sulfate

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reduction.29, 30 However, alum is not universally used in water treatment; further, sewer materials

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other than concrete are susceptible to failure and leakage.4, 6, 11 Sewer rehabilitation decisions

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involve socio-economic considerations of system failure diagnoses and risk estimates.31 Interior

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pipe defects are typically discovered visually using closed circuit televising (CCTV)32 for select

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regions of the collection system, and CCTV data have been shown to correspond to

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micropollutant indicators of wastewater exfiltrated into groundwater.13, 33 Pipe defects have been

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explained by various deterioration modeling approaches,34 for example using decision trees,35

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regression statistics,6, 36-39 multivariate probability analysis,40 random forests,41 neural network

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analyses, or linear programming42 that relate characteristics such as pipe age, pipe material of

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construction, diameter, length, and slope to observed CCTV data.35, 38 Such modeling results can

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guide rehabilitation locations or additional CCTV efforts.34 However, to prioritize within

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collection system areas where groundwater is most vulnerable to contamination, a modeling

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approach that accounts for system attributes affecting exfiltration into shallow groundwater is

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needed. Previously, Lee et al.43 showed that evidence of wastewater influence in shallow

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groundwater wells corresponded to modeled exfiltration probability scores of nearby sewers. The

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modeled exfiltration probability scores resulted from newly employing an existing probabilistic

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model of sewer pipe deterioration37 in the context of spatial information of municipal sewers and

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groundwater elevations, then examining the relationship between the calculated exfiltration

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probability and measured frequencies of wastewater indicators in nearby shallow groundwater.

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Herein, we demonstrate that the modeling approach of Lee et al.43 is predictive: the

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approach can be used to discover where, within a city sewer network, exfiltration is likely

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impinging on shallow groundwater quality. The predictive power of the method was tested by


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selecting high probability regions, then sampling a new set of groundwater wells with subsequent

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analysis for indicator compounds. Because the Lee et al.43 approach involves directly marrying a

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published pipe leakage algorithm to the municipal geographic information system (GIS) sanitary

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sewer database and to publically available groundwater digital elevation data, any city can

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conceivably apply the approach. The results support the use of a spatial model to target where

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shallow groundwater is susceptible to exfiltration, thus allowing sewer segment rehabilitation to

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be prioritized towards protecting water resources and/or public health as part of an overall risk

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assessment/reduction scheme.

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MATERIALS AND METHODS

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Study area

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The study area is within a small city (population 89,000; area 108 km2; total sewer line

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length approx. 470 km) on California’s central coast. Municipal wastewater is conveyed to a

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wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) via a collection system including sanitary sewers that are

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separate from storm sewers, and that range from 5 to 126 years old. Most sewers in the city are

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constructed from vitrified clay pipe (VCP; 76.6% of system length) or polyvinyl chloride (PVC;

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21.9%), with minor sections of reinforced concrete, cast iron and high-density polyethylene

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(HDPE).

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The specific study area within the city was chosen because its sewers have varying

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characteristics (Fig. S1) and proximities to groundwater that could produce a range of predicted

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probabilities of shallow groundwater contamination from sewer exfiltration. Previously, the

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relationship between sewer-derived groundwater contamination probabilities versus measured

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wastewater indicators in shallow groundwater was established opportunistically, i.e. by modeling


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leakage of sewers in the vicinity of existing wells that had been sampled and analyzed for a

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spectrum of contaminants.43, 44 Here, the objective was to determine the predictive capability of

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the modeling approach. This required mapping contamination probabilities predicted from

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wastewater exfiltration models, then siting wells—either existing or new—from which to sample

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groundwater, for testing model efficacy.

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Hydrogeology The study basin is a saddle-shaped depression between a prominent mountain range to

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the north, a coastal ridge to the southwest, and the Pacific Ocean to the southeast. Consolidated,

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mostly impermeable sedimentary rocks of marine origin (Rincon Shale, Sespe Formation,

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Monterey Formation, Vaqueros Sandstone) form the boundaries of the basin and the surrounding

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topography.45 Unconsolidated alluvium of marine and continental origin fills the basin and

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overlies the consolidated rocks to a depth of 500 feet.46 The alluvium is the principal water

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bearing formation in the basin. Groundwater sampled in this study is exclusively from the

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youngest alluvium primarily of continental origin and is comprised primarily of sand, gravel, silt

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and clay to a maximum depth of 100 feet.47 Rainfall is the only major source of groundwater

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basin recharge. Average annual rainfall in the area ranges from 15 to 19 inches, although rainfall

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is highly variable with some years receiving over 40 inches and some less than 5

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inches. Thorough descriptions of the hydrogeologic setting are available elsewhere.47-49

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Groundwater elevations Co-kriging of water table measurements over the period 2000-2013 was used to

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interpolate groundwater elevation for the entire city, using publically-available

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(http://nationalmap.gov/elevation.html) digital elevation data,50, 51 and following the method in

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Chung and Rogers.52 The digital elevation dataset is based on groundwater surface elevation

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measurements for 1,017 individual wells in the city region, comprising 15,671 unique

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measurements.53 The median standard deviation of water level measurements in individual study

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wells was 0.26 m, with 97% of wells displaying a standard deviation less than 0.9 m for the

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analyzed period. Spatial interpolation was performed with ArcGIS version 10.1 Geostatistical

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Analyst extension (ESRI, Redlands CA).

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Spatially explicit model of sewer exfiltration To assess the likelihood of exfiltration in different regions comprising the city study area,

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an exfiltration probability surface was generated that combines spatially-explicit information of

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the sewer infrastructure, groundwater elevations, and previously documented sources of

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groundwater contamination. Briefly, all public pipes in the sewer network were designated as

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either potentially exfiltrating (above water table) or infiltrating (below water table) based on

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sewer structure elevation data and interpolated mean water table elevation. Assuming that

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contaminant attenuation in soils would increase with vertical migration distance, only pipes that

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were determined to be

Spatial Models of Sewer Pipe Leakage Predict the Occurrence of

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