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Influence of ship emissions on urban air quality: a comprehensive study using highly time-resolved online measurements and numerical simulation in Shanghai Zhanmin Liu, Xiaohui Lu, Junlan Feng, Qianzhu Fan, Yan Zhang, and Xin Yang Environ. Sci. Technol., Just Accepted Manuscript • DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.6b03834 • Publication Date (Web): 09 Dec 2016 Downloaded from http://pubs.acs.org on December 12, 2016

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Environmental Science & Technology

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Influence of ship emissions on urban air quality: a comprehensive study using

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highly time-resolved online measurements and numerical simulation in Shanghai

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Zhanmin Liu, Xiaohui Lu, Junlan Feng, Qianzhu Fan, Yan Zhang*, Xin Yang*

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Shanghai Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Particle Pollution and Prevention,

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Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai

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200433, China

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( *Corresponding to: Handan 220, Yangpu District, Shanghai, China, 200433; Yan

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Zhang([email protected]); Xin Yang ( [email protected]) )

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Key words: Shanghai, vanadium-containing particles, ship emission, ATOFMS,

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numerical simulation

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Abstract: Shanghai has become an international shipping center in the world. In this

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study, the multi-year measurements and the high resolution air quality model with

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hourly ship emission inventory were combined to determine the influence of ship

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emissions on urban Shanghai. The aerosol time-of-flight mass spectrometer

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(ATOFMS) measurements were carried at an urban site from March 2009 to

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January 2013. During the entire sampling time, most of the hourly-averaged

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number fractions of primary ship emitted particles varied between 1.0 - 10.0%.

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However, the number fraction could reach up to 50% during the ship plume cases.

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Ship-plume-influenced periods usually occurred in spring and summer. The

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simulation of Weather Research and Forecasting/Community Multi-scale Air

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Quality model (WRF/CMAQ) with hourly ship emission inventory provided the

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highly time-resolved concentrations of ship-related air pollutants during a ship

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plume case. It showed ships could contribute 20 - 30% (2 - 7 µg/m3) of the total

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PM2.5 within tens of kilometers of coastal and riverside Shanghai during

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ship-plume-influenced periods. Our results showed that ship emissions have

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substantial contribution to the air pollution in urban Shanghai. The control 1

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measures of ship emission should be taken considering its negative environment

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and human health effects.

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Table of Contents (TOC)

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1 Introduction

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Ship emissions from the burning of heavy fuel oil contribute numerous gaseous and

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particulate matters into the atmosphere. The negative impacts on human health and

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the climate make ship emission a growing concern.1-4 In the past decade, the ship

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emission particles have been investigated by using laboratory engine experiments,

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on-board studies and aircraft measurements for plume tracking.5-10 Recently, more

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land-based measurements in the stationary sites affected by ship plumes have been

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reported.11-15 Mobile laboratories were usually deployed in the harbor or emission

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control area near the river to study the ship emission particles via extractive sampling

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of the passing ship emission plumes.12,13

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Land-based measurement in the urban area, when coupling with meteorological and

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ship traffic information, can be applied for statistical analysis to identify the

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contribution of ship emissions to the urban air pollutants. The direct contribution of

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ships traffic to PM2.5 and to PM10 in the urban area of Venice was found to be from 1%

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to 8%.14 Since heavy oil was combusted in the ship engines, vanadium (V), nickel (Ni)

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and iron (Fe) could be applied as reliable tracers for the ship emission particles.16-20

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Chemical composition analysis has also been the effective tool to determine the ship

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emission particles when land-based measurement was performed in a multi-source

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pollution area.15,21-23 The V/Ni ratio obtained in the off-line filter sampling analysis

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was usually applied for source apportionment in the areas with both ship emission and

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heavy oil combustion industry.21-23 In addition, non-sea salt sulfate is regarded as a

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marker for the secondary contribution of ship emission because ship-emitted gaseous

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pollutants (e.g. SO2) will be oxidized to be low-volatile compounds, and then form the

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secondary aerosols.15,24-26 The analysis of these signature elements and compounds

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could help pinpoint the primary and secondary contribution of ship emissions.15,26

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Compared with the off-line chemical analysis, aerosol time-of-flight mass

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spectrometer (ATOFMS) can provide on-line chemical information of ambient

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aerosols at single-particle level.27 ATOFMS has been applied in the land-based

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measurement for estimation of the influence of ship emissions to ports or coastal

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cities without heavy oil combustion industries.18-20 In these studies, vanadium was

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used as a typical signature for the primary ship emitted particles.

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The air quality model simulation with ship emission inventory is also an

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important tool to evaluate the contribution of ship traffic to air quality on global and

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regional scale.24,28,29 The previous simulation of air pollution related to ship traffic

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were usually based on annual or monthly averaged ship emission inventories.30,31

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With the application of ship automatic Identification System (AIS) data in building

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ship emission inventory, the resolution of ship emission map has been revolutionarily

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improved.32 With the improvement, the numerical air quality models could combine

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with high–resolution ship emission inventory to simulate the impact of ship emissions

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simultaneously.

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Megacity Shanghai, located in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region in East China,

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is an area of 99,600 square kilometers with a population of 75 million people and has

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the fastest growing economy, the largest total economic output, and the most

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development potential of the economy sector in China. Shanghai Port, surpassing

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Singapore Port, has become the world’s largest container shipping port for five

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consecutive years (2010-2014) (www.portshanghai.com.cn). Urban Shanghai, located

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in a river to sea delta, has been experiencing the combined influence of ship emissions

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from the Yangtze River, the Huangpu River and East China. This may have caused

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substantial atmospheric pollution and worsened the current air-pollution situation in 3

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megacity Shanghai. Recent studies have reported on ship emissions and their potential

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impacts in the YRD in China. Yang et al33 first reported about the ship emissions in

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Shanghai. Zhao’s study34, utilizing conventional filter aerosol sampling techniques,

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indicated that ship traffic had a non-negligible impact on the air quality in Shanghai

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and the YRD region. Fan et al35 presented the seasonal variation of the simulated ship

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emissions in the YRD and the East China Sea and estimated the potential influence of

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ship emissions on air quality. However, there are few reports about the direct

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measurement of ship-related aerosols in the urban region in the YRD or in China. In

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particular, there is little combination of high-resolution measurements and simulations

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to analyze the temporal characteristics of ship plumes and their impact on fine

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particles in urban or port areas in China.

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This study involves a long-term land-based field observation for ship emission

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particles in urban Shanghai. The object of this work is to evaluate the ship emission

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impacts on the urban air quality with high time resolution. We focus more on the ship

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plume periods than the annually average contribution. The methods and data analysis

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of measurements, modeling system and ship emission inventory were listed in Section

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2. The highly time-resolved primary contribution of ship emission to the urban

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atmospheric particulate matter was investigated by screening out the V-containing

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particles and presented in Section 3.1. Additionally, the high-resolution ship emission

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inventory and air quality simulation during ship plume events were made to apportion

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the ship traffic sources and comprehensively assess the influence of ship traffic on air

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quality in urban Shanghai.

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2. Methods and Data Sources

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2.1 Single Particle Measurement and Data Analysis

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Real-time single particle chemical measurement by an ATOFMS (TSI3800,

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Shoreview, MN, USA)27 was carried out at the campus of Fudan University (31°19’N,

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121°30’E). The campus is located in the northeast of downtown Shanghai and within

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approximately 7 km downstream of the Huangpu River. To the northeast of the 4

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sampling site is the Yangtze River Estuary that connects to the East China Sea. The

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main ports of Shanghai are labeled in the map (Figure 1). In order to reveal the

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possible seasonal variation of ship emission particles, a long-term measurement

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covering different seasons and years was carried. The sampling months were April

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2010, October 2010, October 2011, March - June 2012, September - October 2012,

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and January 2013.

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The size range of particles measured by ATOFMS is 200nm-2µm. Although the

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particles smaller than 200nm and larger than 2µm could account for certain parts of

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ship emission12, the size range of ATOFMS covers a major part of ship emitted

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particles with relatively long atmospheric residence time. Detailed ATOFMS

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measurements are described in the supporting information.

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Figure 1

Map of the sampling sites and the ports around the site

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The vanadium (V) component in particles is a good marker of heavy fuel oil

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combustion.18,36 Heavy fuel oil containing a high fraction of V is mainly used by

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marine vessels passing by, entering or leaving the Shanghai ports.37 V-containing 5

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particles could be a reliable indicator of ship traffic source because the ratio of V/Ni

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in ambient aerosol in Shanghai port was calculated to be 3.4, very close to the ratio of

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averaged V and Ni content in ship heavy fuel oils.34 Ship emission particles were

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screened using the markers of vanadium peaks ([V]+ and [VO]+) at m/z+51 and

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m/z+67 with a threshold of the peak area greater than 0.10% of the total peak areas of

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the mass spectrum. To distinguish the vanadium peaks from other OC fragment peaks

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at the same m/z, the ion peak at m/z+51 (or m/z+67) was not identified as [V]+ (or

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[VO]+) unless its peak area was larger than the area of the peaks at m/z+50 and

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m/z+49 (or m/z+66 and m/z+68). In this study, a total of 194,564 ship emission

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particles were observed (Table 1) and separated into half-hour segments for time

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resolution. We divided the half-hour screened V-containing particle counts by the

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corresponding half-hour effectively measured particle counts to obtain the half-hour

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number fraction of V-containing particles (NFV). It should be noted that NFv is an

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indicator of the contribution of primary ship emission to the ambient particles.

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2.2 Meteorological data, modeling system and ship emission data The

meteorological

data

were

obtained

from

Weather

Underground

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(http://www.wunderground.com) and the Chinese National Ordinary Weather Station

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in Baoshan. The Hybrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory Model

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(HYSPLIT-4), the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model (version 3.3)38

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and the Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model39 were used for the

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meteorological analysis from April 20th–22nd, 2010. The vertical layers of models

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were set to be 24, with 19 meters for the first layer. The more detailed meteorological

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data and model setup of WRF/CMAQ are described in the supporting information

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Text S3.

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2.3 Ship emission and land-based emission data

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Hourly ship emission inventories for air pollutants such as SO2, NOx, HC, CO, and

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PM2.5 during this period were estimated based on Automatic Identification System

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(AIS) data using an emission model.35 Generally, the ship emission was built as an

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activity-based marine vessels emission inventory. The equations to estimate ship

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emission was described in supporting Text S4. The actual speed and operation time of

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ship involved in estimation of ship emissions can be obtained accurately from AIS

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data. AIS data lacks information such as the installed power of main engines and total

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power of the auxiliary engines etc. The maximum speed designed for ships were

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supplemented from Lloyd's database. The sulfur content of HFO used by main

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engines is assumed as 2.7% for international ships and as 1.5% for domestic ships.35

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The stack heights of ships were assumed as 35 m and located in the second vertical

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level in numerical simulation. The other land sources were included in the emission

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inventory including power plants, industry, transportation, residential and agriculture

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etc. The land-based emission database was combined from the Transport and

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Chemical Evolution over the Pacific (TRACE-P), the Multi-resolution Emission

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Inventory for China (MEIC) and the fine-resolution Emission Inventory for Shanghai

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(SEMC) and for Baoshan.40,41

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3. Results and discussion

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3.1 Variation of ship-emission related aerosol by ATOFMS in urban Shanghai

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The measurement results contained 8,172 half-hour sets of data. Overall, the

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half-hour number fractions of V-containing particles (NFv) in all sampling hours

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varied over a wide range (